Question about carrying weight

[paisjpq]

Originally Posted by brockguy

we in europe strongly believe that weight matters and its usually a length per pound diff over a mile. I believe that weight does matter and especially in G1 races, it should be Weight for age. The best horse should win. Take last week's turf race with Cacique and co. Grey Swallow and English Channel were judged to have run better races than the actual winner.

i agree weight does matter but you can't disute what the great ones did, that's why they are considered great

[brockguy]

yeah the great ones usually win no matter what weight they carry as somer alluded to. Many of our sprinters over here run within a pound of each other every time and a pound or two does make a crucial difference esp in testing ground!

[Gander]

Personally I feel this is the most overrated handicaping variable ever.

[packerbacker7964]

How many times does a horse throw a joclkey and he's neck and neck with the winner at the wire? Granted a horse - a jockey is more than just a few pounds less but most of the time the horse also encounters trouble when throwing the jockey. I believe weight is an issue but not a large one. I hate it when a horse breaks his/her maiden then moves up in class and carries more weight. I also like a 4y old maiden that won carrying 123 against 3y olds and then drops 5-7 pounds in the next race out.

[Thunder Gulch]

While weight certainly has some impact, it is almost impossible to measure it with any kind or accuracy as it applies to a given horse. Also, the top-weight horse in a race wins far more than the low-weighted horse, so I agree with Gander and many others who believe it is the most overrated factor in handicapping- almost to the point where I all but disregard it in my analysis.