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Old 08-14-2015, 12:42 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,686
Default 8/14: Saratoga (Day 19; G2 Lake Placid); Del Mar ($58k C/O)

Spa momentum that began last Sunday hit a high note Thursday with best day of the stand fully righting U.S.S. Bankroll. Been interesting that after at least zeroing in on winners, the ticket structure aspect has been fortunate and certainly Kacy Lauren helps us all get lucky in the P5/P4 anchor leg. And as I've been saying, if not for success at Del Mar, I can't benot sure I'd have had the pocket to keep clawing away at Saratoga. Hope to carry keep pressing forward through the 2nd half of the SAR/DMR seasons now that we're all operating in the black. Hope everyone got whole! More intrigue today with a good P4 at Saratoga and a $58k C/O at Del Mar..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Ramble the obvious horse to beat; Reversiontothemean gets another chance after attending slow opening day pace. Better making a run; Swoop gets pilot upgrade for off pace try; Queenofzeenile out of Reversion race and could get good outside stalking trip..

Most Likely: #10 Ramble 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Swoop 8-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Reversiontothemean 10-1
Exotics Use: #12 Queenofzeenile 12-1 WON ($45.40)


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Building Permit 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Conquest Superstep 6-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Prize Taker 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Brandini 20-1 4th


9th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Outstanding quintet with no one incapable..

Most Likely: #3 Miss Temple City 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Heath 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Sentiero Italia 5-2 WON ($5.30)


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT

Yikes.. Whole field separated by perhaps 3 lengths on paper..

Best Value: #9 Weather Girl 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Esther the Queen 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Congress Park 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sauvignon 7-2 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 5-10 (A), 3-12 (B), 1-4-9-11 (C)
8: 4 (A), 7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 1-4-5 (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $74 (With $1 All A's Play)



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: 20th Sandy Blue H., 3yo-F, 1m0T (P6, P3, DD)

$58k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #4 Curlin's Fox 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Spirit of Xian 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Havana Belle 6-1 3rd


4th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Captain Akers 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Cee the Preacher Late SCR
Next Best: #2 Carlos Dangerous 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Midvale Magic 6-1 6th


5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Ticaboo 5-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #6 Almost Reality 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Peggy Sue's Loose 4-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Journeyonthemove 12-1 4th


6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bandido Too 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Silvertron 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Pat the Bear 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Where Y'at Joe Joe 4-1 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Awesome Return 3-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Texas Ryano 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 King of Jazz 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Street Maven 6-1 8th


8th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 I'll Play My Hand 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Papa's Playboy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Giant Warrior 8-1 -
Exotics Use: #8 I'm Zonin 5-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #6 Val de Meti 12-1


P6 Grid:

3: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
4: 12 (A), 1/SCR-2 (B), 11 (C)
5: 10 (A), 6 (B), 2 (C)
6: 8 (A), 5-6 (B), 3 (C)
7: 5 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)
8: 11 (A), 4-10 (B), 3-6-8 (C)


P4 Grid:

5: 10 (A), 2-6 (B), 12 (C)
6: 8 (A), 5-6 (B), 3 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
8: 4-11 (A), 3-6-8-10 (B), 2 (C)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-14-2015 at 09:49 PM.
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