And the Met Mile winner is.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

How does a markedly slower horse dictate pace?

Bayern is slower then PZ? I dont see that at all and I have the pps open. Last race was over right away. When Bayern got off bad the race was over. And if he gets off bad again tomorrow the race is probably over again and horses like WS, HC and Tonalist wont have a prayer. I expect a huge effort from Bayern. 2nd time back, over a track where you can argue he ran his most impressive race ever.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Bayern is slower then PZ? I dont see that at all and I have the pps open. Last race was over right away. When Bayern got off bad the race was over. And if he gets off bad again tomorrow the race is probably over again and horses like WS, HC and Tonalist wont have a prayer. I expect a huge effort from Bayern. 2nd time back, over a track where you can argue he ran his most impressive race ever.

1st quarter of Bayern's last four stake route races:

01Nov14 SA12 ft 1-1/4 STK 7 1 1 24.84s bl Garcia, Martin
20Sep14 PRX12 ft 1-1/8 STK 4 1 2 24.36s bl Garcia, Martin
23Aug14 SAR12 ft 1-1/4 STK 2 1½ 24.27s bl Garcia, Martin
27Jul14 MTH12 ft 1-1/8 STK 2 1 1 23.44s bl Garcia, Martin

1st quarter of Private Zone's three stake route races:

07Mar15 GP10 ft 1M STK 5 1 1½ 22.52s bl Marquez, jr., CarlosH.
29Nov14 AQU10 ft 1M STK 1 1 2 22.26s bl Pedroza, MartinManuel
30Nov13 AQU8 ft 1M STK 10 1 1½ 22.61s bl Pedroza, MartinManuel



So yes. PZ is very much faster than Bayern, by about 9 lengths. Can he hang on for a mile against these? I doubt it, IC thinks so and I hold his opinions in high regard, so may include, but Tonalist to me is the play.