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Old 05-08-2015, 12:37 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Belmont Friday May 8

Races 3 and 6 wide-open. Will go deep.

Race 2:
#3 Bear Clause: Big jock upgrade might do the trick against a weak bunch.
#4 Suspicious Mind: Never off the board on the dirt. Extra 1/16th will benefit.
#5 Fear: Nevin back in six days.
Expect continued improvement from #'s 1 & 2 but don't think it'll be enough to win.

Race 4:
#1A Room for Me: Impressive NY debut.
#4 Savvy Sassy: Has to pick up where she left off.
#3 Risque Reality: Should get a relaxed stalking trip with the shades off.
#6 Discreetly Elusive: Always a factor in the exotics.

Race 5:
#8 Rock Me Mama: Maker has had enough time with her off the massive barn change. Price play.
#5 Lahinch Classics: Distance will be more suitable and is the one to beat.
#1 Perfect Flute: Filimbi's sis eligible to continue upward slope returning to firm turf.
#7 Precarious: Ran huge off the shelf in an almost identical race last year.

Race 7:
#6 Official: Tad short last time. Nevin has her cranked this time.
#3 In Spite of Mama: Only poor run at the mile came when back in 17 days. Can wire them.
#2 Canal Six: One-turn is her game.
#1 Keep Bustin: Can't knock the BEL record and has won over this distance.
#7 looks best on form returning to the one-turn but the absence of a work since the 22nd is unappealing.

Race 8:
#6 Rubindy: Speed in an NY turf route.
#1 Unbelievable Dream: Turf runs outside of KEE haven't been that poor. Sitting on a big one.
#5 Goldy Espony: Will get too far back in a dawdle. Also needs further.
#2 Dido: Will be coming late for a piece. Motion does well with these returners in these spots.

Race 9:
#6 Gear Jammer: Played this one on debut at the Spa when off to a slow beginning. Been waiting for him to return to a turf sprint ever since. Doesn't find an easy bunch for 2015 bow but must keep the playback faith.
#3 Bold Bid: Ships in for the NY-bred purse and potential Sires Stakes. Dam won on this course.
#10 Ant and Bee: Turf should suit him best.
#5 Royal Asset: Ward FTS is a sib to a couple solid NY-bred SWs. Expensive purchase as a yearling.

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 3, 4, 5
Race 3: ALL (5)
Race 4: 1, 4
Race 5: 1, 5, 8
$54.00

$2 Pick Six
Race 4: 1
Race 5: 5, 8
Race 6: 3, 6
Race 7: 3, 6
Race 8: 6
Race 9: 3, 6
$32

$0.60 Late Pick Four (without key)
Race 6: 1, 3, 5, 6
Race 7: 2, 3, 6
Race 8: 1, 6
Race 9: 3, 5, 10
$43.20

$0.60 Late Pick Four (with key)
Race 6: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Race 7: 1, 2, 3, 6
Race 8: 1, 2, 5, 6
Race 9: 6
$57.60

Good luck!

Last edited by Kitan : 05-08-2015 at 10:52 AM.
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