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  #121  
Old 04-27-2015, 07:15 PM
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Oaks/Derby double... Stellar Wind-AP.

That is all.
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  #122  
Old 04-27-2015, 07:47 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Originally Posted by saratogadew View Post
My early Oaks/Derby Double selection:

Condo Commando
By the Moon
Stellar Wind
Lovely Maria
West Coast Belle

OVER

American Pharoah
Mubtaahij
Firing Line
Stanford
Far Right

$4.00 Double
100.
Not to be rude, but are you really gonna play that? I mean, if it comes up Wind / AP, you are looking at getting 40$ or 50$ back on $4
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  #123  
Old 04-27-2015, 08:46 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Anyone know if they have the 2 day pick 3 this year?
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  #124  
Old 04-27-2015, 08:53 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Anyone know if they have the 2 day pick 3 this year?
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...mes-wager-menu

Yes.
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  #125  
Old 04-28-2015, 11:06 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports...9dd_story.html

had no clue Shah was a local boy....Vienna, VA

-bt-
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  #126  
Old 04-28-2015, 11:11 AM
munster705 munster705 is offline
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Thoughts on Firing Line? I am leaning towards him with 5 days to post.....love the preps....ran right with the favorite in here and it sounds like they are training him to rate off the pace
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  #127  
Old 04-28-2015, 02:17 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Originally Posted by Scav View Post
Not to be rude, but are you really gonna play that? I mean, if it comes up Wind / AP, you are looking at getting 40$ or 50$ back on $4
Not even that. Last year the chalk P3 paid $4.25 per $50c. Everyone had those 3 in their wheels. I won and lost money. The double was $5.70 per $1
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  #128  
Old 04-28-2015, 05:59 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Originally Posted by munster705 View Post
Thoughts on Firing Line? I am leaning towards him with 5 days to post.....love the preps....ran right with the favorite in here and it sounds like they are training him to rate off the pace
He's in my top 3, at the moment

I'd love to see odds on a prop bet that he'd finish ahead of Dortmund, which I believe can very well happen.
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  #129  
Old 04-28-2015, 06:03 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Great up to date workout recap from the Courier Journal:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story...ates/26363729/
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  #130  
Old 04-28-2015, 07:11 PM
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Great up to date workout recap from the Courier Journal:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story...ates/26363729/
That's the daily notebook from the Communications Office. Available at kentuckyderby.com without the hoopjumping req'd at the C-J:

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/news/20...-draws-field-1

Darren Rogers Communications Dept. twitter feed with links to all the press releases: https://twitter.com/DerbyMedia
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  #131  
Old 04-29-2015, 10:58 AM
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Tale of The Verve was entered in the Ky Derby and is now 2nd on the bubble:

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...d-for-ky-derby

A horse with 0 points might make it in.


--Dunbar
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  #132  
Old 04-30-2015, 08:46 PM
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I'm failing to see what, if anything, separates Am Pharoah and Dortmund by so much over Upstart and Materiality. I get it that Materiality has only had 3 races. But those races were not cakewalks. His (and to a lesser extent Upstart's) last-race BSF's are significantly superior to AP's and Dortmund's. And I get that AP was wound down late in the Ark Derby, but not IMO to a degree that would have flipped the BSF order.

At this point I'm thinking that Am Pharoah and Dortmund will both be significantly overbet. Carpe Diem will be wildly overbet. There should be a lot of value in several of the other horses.

--Dunbar
FWIW, I'm less confident now that Dortmund will be "significantly overbet". With post positions considered, and most of Dortmund's toughest competition drawing poorly, I'd make Dortmund a 9-2 fav in a no-vig line. So, if he goes off at 4-1 or higher, I wouldn't think that's "overbet".

--Dunbar
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photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #133  
Old 05-04-2015, 12:31 AM
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Any word on El Kabeir?
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  #134  
Old 05-04-2015, 04:47 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Any word on El Kabeir?
He'll be fine but no Preakness. Issue was a quarter crack on the inside of the hoof. Was with Terranova before Derby as it happens and he said he'll concentrate on down the road opportunities. Nothing set as target yet. He was disappointed but not heartbroken. Just hopes he gets back with another 3yo.
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  #135  
Old 05-04-2015, 05:26 AM
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5/9/15 (BEL): Peter Pan

Madefromlucky (Pletcher)
Two Weeks Off (Pletcher)
Stanford (Pletcher)


5/16/15 (PIM): Preakness Stakes

American Pharoah (Baffert/V. Espinoza)
Firing Line (S. Callaghan/Stevens)
Dortmund (Baffert/M. Garcia)
International Star (Maker/Mena)
Divining Rod (Delacour)

Danzig Moon (Casse/Leparoux)
Materiality (Pletcher)
Carpe Diem (Pletcher)
Competitive Edge (Pletcher)
Bodhisattva (Corrales)


6/6/15 (BEL): Belmont Stakes

Keen Ice (Romans)
Mubtaahij (de Kock)
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 05-04-2015 at 01:18 PM.
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  #136  
Old 05-04-2015, 11:14 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Materiality (Pletcher)
Two Weeks Off (Pletcher)
I hope at least one of these two runs.
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  #137  
Old 05-04-2015, 11:19 AM
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I hope at least one of these two runs.
I would love to see Materiality run back, with a clean trip he is a huge threat in the Preakness.
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  #138  
Old 05-04-2015, 11:21 AM
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I would love to see Materiality run back, with a clean trip he is a huge threat in the Preakness.
He'd be on all my tickets. I think TWO has a lot of potential too.
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  #139  
Old 05-04-2015, 11:54 AM
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I think Stanford plays a huge role in the Preakness if he goes. No way he even comes close to winning but changes everything from a pace projection. Two weeks off is very interesting
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  #140  
Old 05-04-2015, 11:59 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Pat Cummings mentioning on Twitter that Mubtaahij is pointing to Belmont
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