Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-15-2015, 01:29 PM
FATPIANO's Avatar
FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: nys
Posts: 1,174
Default

I think you are right that two are exciting, but the two are MATERIALITY and Mubtaahij, and both are exciting at a price
__________________
Arrogate is the best horse since The Bid, and The Bid was better than Secretariat!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-15-2015, 01:54 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,699
Default

AP still looks like he is sitting on a big one and is a rightful favorite. Dortmund also is well deserving. I'm looking forward to seeing post positions here. There seems to be plenty of speed and International Star is very intriguing to me in this race.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:02 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
AP still looks like he is sitting on a big one and is a rightful favorite. Dortmund also is well deserving. I'm looking forward to seeing post positions here. There seems to be plenty of speed and International Star is very intriguing to me in this race.
With a dream trip - I like Danzig Moon a little now (though who really knows in a 20 horse field, pre-draw) but after I dismissed everything out of the Bluegrass, I re-watched it a few times, and Danzig Moon was absolutely inhaling ground in the stretch. He's going to be on my ticket.
I don't know why Firing Line not in the discussion, having only been beaten a head twice by Dortmund. Dortmund just has the look of a big, unwieldly speedball (who doesn't seem to factor as the speed of the speed) that can find a lot of trouble if he draws inside of the other speed. He appears to me as horse that will not take a heavy bump well and recover quickly.

At this point I'm not thrilled with the Materiality or Upstart's prospects, and have no clue what to do with Mubtaahij.

My main keys (subject to change) are AP, Firing Line, International Star, Danzig Moon, and Frosted.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:05 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Not that I think he can win (though who really knows in a 20 horse field, pre-draw) but after I dismissed everything out of the Bluegrass, I re-watched it a few times, and Danzig Moon was inhaling ground in the stretch. He's going to be on my ticket.
I don't know why Firing Line not in the discussion, having only been beaten a head twice by Dortmund. Dortmund just has the look of a big, unwieldly speedball (who doesn't seem to factor as the speed of the speed) that can find a lot of trouble if he draws inside of the other speed. He appears to me as horse that will not take a heavy bump well and recover quickly.

At this point I'm not thrilled with the Materiality or Upstart's prospects, and have no clue what to do with Mubtaahij.

My main keys (subject to change) are AP, Firing Line, International Star, Danzig Moon, and Frosted.
Dortmund has rated and won 2x. Once at Churchill. I think he is the horse to beat. I think anyone but him, AP, Upstart and Frosted is a serious upset.
I don't get Danzig Moon at all. He was making up ground on the most overated horse in this crop. He will be a big price though and probably has the proper running style to get a piece.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:15 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Dortmund has rated and won 2x. Once at Churchill. I think he is the horse to beat. I think anyone but him, AP, Upstart and Frosted is a serious upset.
I don't get Danzig Moon at all. He was making up ground on the most overated horse in this crop. He will be a big price though and probably has the proper running style to get a piece.
He wasn't *rated* so much as he simply wasn't faster than Firing Line - which could be the kiss of death for a horse like this IF he draws down inside of the real speed. Not saying he isn't a top prospect, just not for me in a race like this without knowing where he's breaking from.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:21 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
He wasn't *rated* so much as he simply wasn't faster than Firing Line - which could be the kiss of death for a horse like this IF he draws down inside of the real speed. Not saying he isn't a top prospect, just not for me in a race like this without knowing where he's breaking from.
I guess. He rated at Churchill though.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:42 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
I guess. He rated at Churchill though.
If you can call being a length and a half off a 46 flat half mile -being rated - then I guess.

I think he is a speed horse that isn't as fast as the other speed, but also clearly doesn't need the lead early. Again, not slamming the horse -he is magnificent.

Just that his size + his running style in a 20 horse field with faster horses around him is a far from ideal circumstance to be taking short money on him, is all.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:42 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.