Am I reading this right?

I was always under the impression that the trifecta will pay anywhere between 3 and 4 times exacta. In this particular case the tri payout seems about right based on what the exacta paid. I will typically look at the exacta payouts to see if something weird is going on. In this example, the exacta will pay would have shown me that someone is playing this exacta combo. I would love to go back and see what the exacta will pay was on the 2 favorites. If I see a low exacta probable on two horses with huge odds and combine that with a high exacta probable payout on the two favorites then that tells me that I need to look at those two high odds horses again for my win bet.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I was always under the impression that the trifecta will pay anywhere between 3 and 4 times exacta. In this particular case the tri payout seems about right based on what the exacta paid. I will typically look at the exacta payouts to see if something weird is going on. In this example, the exacta will pay would have shown me that someone is playing this exacta combo. I would love to go back and see what the exacta will pay was on the 2 favorites. If I see a low exacta probable on two horses with huge odds and combine that with a high exacta probable payout on the two favorites then that tells me that I need to look at those two high odds horses again for my win bet.

This is completely off base, it really depends on WHO finishes 3rd (and, who finishes 2nd!).
If an even money wins, a 5/2 finishes 2nd, and a 5/1 finishes 3rd in a 6 horse field, yeah you're probably going to get $12 for the exacta and $36 for the tri, but for an extreme example in the Derby the exacta paid $600 and the tri paid $10,000, with a very logical 15/1 (win odds) shot finishing third. He was "worth" 17/1 to show in the tri pool...

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by philcski

This is completely off base, it really depends on WHO finishes 3rd (and, who finishes 2nd!).
If an even money wins, a 5/2 finishes 2nd, and a 5/1 finishes 3rd in a 6 horse field, yeah you're probably going to get $12 for the exacta and $36 for the tri, but for an extreme example in the Derby the exacta paid $600 and the tri paid $10,000, with a very logical 15/1 (win odds) shot finishing third. He was "worth" 17/1 to show in the tri pool...

Yeah, I missed the exacta and tri because of Bluegrass Cat, but my saver bets with Barbaro to win and Steppy WPS helped me to break even.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Yeah, I missed the exacta and tri because of Bluegrass Cat, but my saver bets with Barbaro to win and Steppy WPS helped me to break even.

My rule of crossing out the Blue Grass performance of every runner in the Derby paid me off this year on BG Cat. He was my last inclusion in the exacta/tri i had constructed...

Originally Posted by philcski

This is completely off base, it really depends on WHO finishes 3rd (and, who finishes 2nd!).
If an even money wins, a 5/2 finishes 2nd, and a 5/1 finishes 3rd in a 6 horse field, yeah you're probably going to get $12 for the exacta and $36 for the tri, but for an extreme example in the Derby the exacta paid $600 and the tri paid $10,000, with a very logical 15/1 (win odds) shot finishing third. He was "worth" 17/1 to show in the tri pool...

That is true. I guess sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't. I am not a big tri player so I really dont pay that much attention.