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  #1  
Old 12-04-2006, 09:18 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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But, Phil, the trifecta is NOT low relative to the exacta price.

I will get more information but it does not appear that anything sinister was going on.....believe it or not.

Did CC Lopez ride the favorite by any chance?
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  #2  
Old 12-04-2006, 09:21 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
But, Phil, the trifecta is NOT low relative to the exacta price.

I will get more information but it does not appear that anything sinister was going on.....believe it or not.

Did CC Lopez ride the favorite by any chance?

jose ferrer, maybe??
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  #3  
Old 12-04-2006, 09:28 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
jose ferrer, maybe??

Same thing.
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  #4  
Old 12-04-2006, 09:51 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
But, Phil, the trifecta is NOT low relative to the exacta price.
I will get more information but it does not appear that anything sinister was going on.....believe it or not.

Did CC Lopez ride the favorite by any chance?
Agreed, you would expect about a 3X multiplier with a 11/2 choice in 3rd and that's what it got (people often overestimate the value of the 3rd slot- exacta pays $20 and a 20-1 finishes third "it should pay $400!" no stupid, $160 if you're lucky.) My "finger in the air" test says $550 and $1800, minimum. The favorite was ridden by Ramon Dominguez...

I wasn't going to reply to this but I've seen a lot of low payoffs in NY lately on intrarace bets. The multirace payoffs seem very much in line, I was shocked that someone actually picked 6 yesterday with no carryover but I suppose if you were clairvoyant enough to go deep in the two maiden races you could have had it as the others were all very logical. I don't believe there's any funny business going on but past-posting scares me. It could potentially destroy the game, and given the running of the race (the 2 taking a huge lead into the stretch) there's no reason someone with the ability to crack the pools couldn't punch a late bet or two, you know what i mean?
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  #5  
Old 12-04-2006, 10:23 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Agreed, you would expect about a 3X multiplier with a 11/2 choice in 3rd and that's what it got (people often overestimate the value of the 3rd slot- exacta pays $20 and a 20-1 finishes third "it should pay $400!" no stupid, $160 if you're lucky.) My "finger in the air" test says $550 and $1800, minimum. The favorite was ridden by Ramon Dominguez...

I wasn't going to reply to this but I've seen a lot of low payoffs in NY lately on intrarace bets. The multirace payoffs seem very much in line, I was shocked that someone actually picked 6 yesterday with no carryover but I suppose if you were clairvoyant enough to go deep in the two maiden races you could have had it as the others were all very logical. I don't believe there's any funny business going on but past-posting scares me. It could potentially destroy the game, and given the running of the race (the 2 taking a huge lead into the stretch) there's no reason someone with the ability to crack the pools couldn't punch a late bet or two, you know what i mean?
Not to mention the shockingly low payout on the pik-3 that ended in race 5.

Far less than half the parlay.
I find it sickening the people make jusice accusations all the time, and paranoid about so many things, yet when payouts like the ones we've seen the last 2-4 weeks are brought up, fears are dismissed.
This shakes peoples confidence in how on the level these races are far more than a late scrtach.
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  #6  
Old 12-04-2006, 10:32 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Not to mention the shockingly low payout on the pik-3 that ended in race 5.

Far less than half the parlay.
I find it sickening the people make jusice accusations all the time, and paranoid about so many things, yet when payouts like the ones we've seen the last 2-4 weeks are brought up, fears are dismissed.
This shakes peoples confidence in how on the level these races are far more than a late scrtach.
I find it shocking that someone wouldn't understand that a Jimmy Jerkens first time starter that won a race at 10-1 was significantly shorter in Pick-3 pools that were bet without the benefit of knowing the actual betting in a race full of first time starters.

If you actually looked through the entire relative sequence you would see that the two pick-3s that were bet with the 4th race odds " dark ", so to speak, were short the parlay while the one that began with the 4th, and thus showed the actual betting, paid well over the parlay.
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  #7  
Old 12-04-2006, 11:02 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Not to mention the shockingly low payout on the pik-3 that ended in race 5.
Far less than half the parlay.
I find it sickening the people make jusice accusations all the time, and paranoid about so many things, yet when payouts like the ones we've seen the last 2-4 weeks are brought up, fears are dismissed.
This shakes peoples confidence in how on the level these races are far more than a late scrtach.
This was less surprising because that horse was probably only worth 6-1 in the pick 3 (making the $114 more reasonable), logically you would HAVE to include that horse if you were casting a more-than-just-the-top-two net in the dark, which I would think most players did.

On the flip side, the pick 3 starting with the 4th race paid more than double the parlay amount ($3,907 vs. $1,844)
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