Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-14-2007, 06:44 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,060
Default 9/14: Belmont (4th-9th)

Recovered handsomely from Wednesday travails with 2 scores Thursday despite facing a card that looked treacherous.. Angel Penna's Sundaysunday (9-1, $20.40) keyed the $1,028.50 6th race trifecta as top value win play when suggested longshot exotics add Lieutenant ($33.80 to place at insane 49-1) rambled home a clear second ($280.00 exacta). Shug's Cosmic was an overbet third at 3-4.. A $2,057.00 ($2)/$1,028.50 ($1) trifecta again shows the value of playing 4 horses underneath a key horse ($48 or $24 keyed first and second). You can be wrong 39 straight times and still break even with that 40th try.. (And you're not going to be wrong 39 straight times anyway..)

Sundaysunday also got the late P4 rolling right with chalky single Straight Romance (3-2) getting us halfway home before Zip to the City (1-1) got up in the 8th. That brought us to the nightcap and a thrilling finish to the good afternoon with Chief Tashamo "up in time" at 7-1. The P4 paid $415.50, and reversed a long string of multi-race wager frustrations..

Carryover was hit for a juicy $31,300.. Friday looks tough again leading up to an outstanding Saturday featuring the Matron, Futurity, Noble Damsel and Gazelle (Rags to Riches)..

Hope you caught the wave Thursday..


BELMONT PARK


Selections Key:

1. "Best Value win candidate"
2. "Most Likely Winner"
A. "Possibility/Exotics Use"
B. "Exotics Inclusion"


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, P6)

1. #2e Toscano entry 5-1 4th
2. #1e Galluscio entry 2-1 3rd
A. #4 Wonderous Day 5-2 2nd
B. #8 Another Gulch 9-2 WON


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, GS)

1. #9 Ballymist 20-1 2nd
2. #10 Sneaky Deeds 3-1 WON
A. #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 6th
B. #4 Undeniable Queen 4-1 3rd

$1 EX $33.25
$1 TRI $182.00



6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #6 Too Tired Tonight 10-1 WON
2. #10 Behrdine 5-2 3rd
A. #1e Persaud entry 3-1 2nd
B. #2 Raisin' Silver 8-1 4th

$1 EX $82.25
$1 TRI $206.25
$1 SUPER $625.00



<$25 P3 Play:

4: 1-2-4-8
5: 1-9-10
6: 6-10

4x3x2 = $24 $1 P3 Paid $224.50


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3)

1. #9 Gold Pageantry 6-1 WON
2. #3 Too Risky 7-2 8th
A. #1e Donk entry 3-1 5th/6th
B. #6 S. S. Crafty 5-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

1. #3 Electric Light 8-1 DNF-RIP
2. #5 Deputy Indy 7-2 3rd
A. #6 Diamond Isle 5-1 WON
B. #8 Hunting 6-1 4th


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

1. #2 BEAUTIFUL LIL 12-1 Lost rider
2. #8 Loxy Lady 5-2 2nd
A. #4 Stage Dream 3-1 7th
B. #11 (AE) Scarlet Love 8-1 3rd

NOTE: Sub #9 Stellar Night (5-1) 5th for #11 Scarlet Love should that AE runner NOT draw in..


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-6-10
7: 1-3-9
8: 3-5
9: 2-8

4x3x2x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 09-15-2007 at 07:44 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-14-2007, 02:11 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

I should just give up handicapping and follow you Byk, on fire yet again. Good job on the first two.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-14-2007, 02:14 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Good job, Steve.

Should've played the 5th.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-14-2007, 02:40 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Way to go, Steve...Another score in the 6th.

Great picking today!

NT
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-14-2007, 03:04 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

7: 2,7,9
8: 3,7,8
9: 8

$9 per $1
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-14-2007, 03:14 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
7: 2,7,9
8: 3,7,8
9: 8

$9 per $1
7: 2,7,9 = 9 = $16.00
8: 3,7,8
9: 8
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.