Derby Trail Forums - 9/14: Belmont (4th-9th)

Recovered handsomely from Wednesday travails with 2 scores Thursday despite facing a card that looked treacherous.. Angel Penna's Sundaysunday (9-1, $20.40) keyed the $1,028.50 6th race trifecta as top value win play when suggested longshot exotics add Lieutenant ($33.80 to place at insane 49-1) rambled home a clear second ($280.00 exacta). Shug's Cosmic was an overbet third at 3-4.. A $2,057.00 ($2)/$1,028.50 ($1) trifecta again shows the value of playing 4 horses underneath a key horse ($48 or $24 keyed first and second). You can be wrong 39 straight times and still break even with that 40th try.. (And you're not going to be wrong 39 straight times anyway..)

Sundaysunday also got the late P4 rolling right with chalky single Straight Romance (3-2) getting us halfway home before Zip to the City (1-1) got up in the 8th. That brought us to the nightcap and a thrilling finish to the good afternoon with Chief Tashamo "up in time" at 7-1. The P4 paid $415.50, and reversed a long string of multi-race wager frustrations..

Carryover was hit for a juicy $31,300.. Friday looks tough again leading up to an outstanding Saturday featuring the Matron, Futurity, Noble Damsel and Gazelle (Rags to Riches)..

Hope you caught the wave Thursday..

BELMONT PARK

Selections Key:

1. "Best Value win candidate"
2. "Most Likely Winner"
A. "Possibility/Exotics Use"
B. "Exotics Inclusion"

4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, P6)

1. #2e Toscano entry 5-1 4th
2. #1e Galluscio entry 2-1 3rd
A. #4 Wonderous Day 5-2 2nd
B. #8 Another Gulch 9-2 WON

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, GS)

1. #9 Ballymist 20-1 2nd
2. #10 Sneaky Deeds 3-1 WON
A. #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 6th
B. #4 Undeniable Queen 4-1 3rd

$1 EX $33.25
$1 TRI $182.00

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #6 Too Tired Tonight 10-1 WON
2. #10 Behrdine 5-2 3rd
A. #1e Persaud entry 3-1 2nd
B. #2 Raisin' Silver 8-1 4th

$1 EX $82.25
$1 TRI $206.25
$1 SUPER $625.00

<$25 P3 Play:

4: 1-2-4-8
5: 1-9-10
6: 6-10

4x3x2 = $24 $1 P3 Paid $224.50

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3)

1. #9 Gold Pageantry 6-1 WON
2. #3 Too Risky 7-2 8th
A. #1e Donk entry 3-1 5th/6th
B. #6 S. S. Crafty 5-1 7th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

1. #3 Electric Light 8-1 DNF-RIP
2. #5 Deputy Indy 7-2 3rd
A. #6 Diamond Isle 5-1 WON
B. #8 Hunting 6-1 4th

9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

1. #2 BEAUTIFUL LIL 12-1 Lost rider
2. #8 Loxy Lady 5-2 2nd
A. #4 Stage Dream 3-1 7th
B. #11 (AE) Scarlet Love 8-1 3rd

NOTE: Sub #9 Stellar Night (5-1) 5th for #11 Scarlet Love should that AE runner NOT draw in..

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-6-10
7: 1-3-9
8: 3-5
9: 2-8

4x3x2x2 = $48

Good luck!
Steve