Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[moses]

This is basically the same thing that DaHoss does. Fictional $2 win/place on two horses each day. One is my "best bet" and the other is my "best value," typically a horse with morning line odds around 5/1 or higher. I'm getting started on this late but we'll see whether I can turn a profit for the remainder of the meet.

Wednesday, July 21

Rain is in the forecast for tomorrow so I'll check back tomorrow morning but I wanted to get this posted so that I'd actually commit myself to starting it this week.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

This is basically the same thing that DaHoss does. Fictional $2 win/place on two horses each day. One is my "best bet" and the other is my "best value," typically a horse with morning line odds around 5/1 or higher. I'm getting started on this late but we'll see whether I can turn a profit for the remainder of the meet.

Wednesday, July 21

Rain is in the forecast for tomorrow so I'll check back tomorrow morning but I wanted to get this posted so that I'd actually commit myself to starting it this week.

What do you mean by "Best Bet" ?

I often get confused by this as to some "Best Bet" is their most likely to win which most times isn't a good bet at all but valuable as a single...

[Alabama Stakes]

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

I hit .629 in Little League...

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

The contest that you got cancelled because you were so annoying? I thought past success doesn’t mean anything.

Sh.it…you cyberblew me for years because of all the winners I fed you. Not I’m a horrible person because I stopped.

Let’s see you do it now. You show a profit, I leave. You don’t show a profit, you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choosing.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

Promise ?

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Promise ?

Sure. Two picks every single day for the Saratoga meet. You show a profit I’m gone. You lose you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choice.

You game?

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."

For me it’s the horse I like the most that day that is also a horse I could bet. Look at opening day at Saratoga, obviously Golden Pal would’ve been most peoples “best bet” but I know I’m not betting horses at 1/5 or whatever he was

[Dahoss]

By the way, the big vagina’s silence anytime he is challenged is hilarious. He knows what will happen.

[moses]

Originally Posted by jms62

What do you mean by "Best Bet" ?

I often get confused by this as to some "Best Bet" is their most likely to win which most times isn't a good bet at all but valuable as a single...

I struggle with this honestly. Some times it is a horse that I just don’t think can lose (no value) and some times it is a horse that I think has a great chance to win but is overlooked. I’m not sure I’ve actually figured it out myself what “best bet” means.

Maybe I’ll have to give that more thought.