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Old 12-16-2007, 10:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 12/16: Hollywood (6th-10th)

Mary Hartman's 67-1 stunner Presious Passion blew apart everyone's P4 thoughts Saturday at Calder with an outstanding performance under Elvis Trujillo. Steve Crist had suggested in his DRF Blog that prior poor rides on the Royal Anthem gelding offered a value opportunity and he couldn't have been more precient. The 12 or so players using the $136.00 winner and that negotiated Redaspen, Paradise Dancer and Electrify ahead of him were rewarded with an $11,000 payday on the Quad...

Was pleased to have hinted at a handful of Saturday's Best Value performers as Redaspen ($18.60) and Zarb's Symphony ($28.00) won and Grace and Power (2nd at 13-1) ran admirably behind 1-1 Country Star in the Startlet. Hope you did well...

Second half of Sunday's Hollywood card caught my interest this a.m. as the snow piled up here in Upstate NY.


HOLLYWOOD


6th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Nootka Island 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Angel Cat 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Indescribable 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Pat the Cool Cat 6-1 6th

$1 Exacta (6-8) $14.30


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Just Julian 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Oceanography 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Banner Lodge 7-2 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Kalookan Boss 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-3) $49.20
$1 Trifecta (4-3-2) $1,326.40
$1 Superfecta (4-3-2-7) $5,453.70



8th: 25th Dahlia (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Nashoba's Key OUT and Citronnade EXPECTED to scratch... If in, is obviously a must..

Best Value: #7 MARIETTA 20-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Citronnade 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Black Mamba 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Meribel 9-2 (#11 SCR) 5th

$1 Exacta (12-4) $5.90


9th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 SCR (SUB #5 Capture the Cat)
Most Likely: #8 Hey Beautiful 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Phoebe's Song 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #6 SCR (SUB #3 Themis Valentine) 4th


10th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super)

Best Value: #6 Mud Sweat 'n Tears 6-1
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Warren's Honey 5-2
Next Best: #3 All Done Up 3-1
Exotics Add: #8 Truckee Victory 20-1


P4 Play:

7: 3-4-7
8: 4-7-12
9: 5-8
10: 1-3-6

3x3x2x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-16-2007 at 06:44 PM.
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Old 12-16-2007, 10:25 AM
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went for the safe weather bet eh...
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Old 12-16-2007, 12:42 PM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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Rob Bob and Dave in the 7th has Talamo/Ellis and they've been hitting together at a 48% clip! Plus Ellis is good with 1st timers....I wouldn't take this first timer too lightly.
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Old 12-16-2007, 12:47 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Rob Bob and Dave in the 7th has Talamo/Ellis and they've been hitting together at a 48% clip! Plus Ellis is good with 1st timers....I wouldn't take this first timer too lightly.
LWM,

It's a really good race.. Spankey Come Home in there too and his comebacker wasn't bad. A 2-1 Oceanography won't surprise me and a 32-1 El Falcon wouldn't either!

Good luck...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 12-16-2007, 03:15 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Late PK4

R7

#3 Just Julian - The $1.6 Million purchase finally graduates today.
#7 Oceanography
#11 Infinite Resource

R8

#12 Citronade
#5 Foxysox (GB)

R9

#5 Capture the Cat
#8 Hey Beautiful
#3 Themis Valentine

R10

#3 All Done Up
#4 Dancing Mica

PK4 - 3 7 11 / 5 12 / 3 5 8 / 3 4 = $36

Good Racing Luck
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Old 12-16-2007, 03:37 PM
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pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
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See the #1 is scratched in 9th. Rolled Steve's pk4 singling #8 in the 9th.

Not sure what to do with myself with Aqueduct on hiatus...
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