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-   -   12/16: Hollywood (6th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18800)

Kasept 12-16-2007 10:10 AM

12/16: Hollywood (6th-10th)
 
Mary Hartman's 67-1 stunner Presious Passion blew apart everyone's P4 thoughts Saturday at Calder with an outstanding performance under Elvis Trujillo. Steve Crist had suggested in his DRF Blog that prior poor rides on the Royal Anthem gelding offered a value opportunity and he couldn't have been more precient. The 12 or so players using the $136.00 winner and that negotiated Redaspen, Paradise Dancer and Electrify ahead of him were rewarded with an $11,000 payday on the Quad...

Was pleased to have hinted at a handful of Saturday's Best Value performers as Redaspen ($18.60) and Zarb's Symphony ($28.00) won and Grace and Power (2nd at 13-1) ran admirably behind 1-1 Country Star in the Startlet. Hope you did well...

Second half of Sunday's Hollywood card caught my interest this a.m. as the snow piled up here in Upstate NY.


HOLLYWOOD


6th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Nootka Island 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Angel Cat 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Indescribable 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Pat the Cool Cat 6-1 6th

$1 Exacta (6-8) $14.30


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Just Julian 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Oceanography 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Banner Lodge 7-2 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Kalookan Boss 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-3) $49.20
$1 Trifecta (4-3-2) $1,326.40
$1 Superfecta (4-3-2-7) $5,453.70



8th: 25th Dahlia (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Nashoba's Key OUT and Citronnade EXPECTED to scratch... If in, is obviously a must..

Best Value: #7 MARIETTA 20-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Citronnade 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Black Mamba 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Meribel 9-2 (#11 SCR) 5th

$1 Exacta (12-4) $5.90


9th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 SCR (SUB #5 Capture the Cat)
Most Likely: #8 Hey Beautiful 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Phoebe's Song 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #6 SCR (SUB #3 Themis Valentine) 4th


10th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super)

Best Value: #6 Mud Sweat 'n Tears 6-1
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Warren's Honey 5-2
Next Best: #3 All Done Up 3-1
Exotics Add: #8 Truckee Victory 20-1


P4 Play:

7: 3-4-7
8: 4-7-12
9: 5-8
10: 1-3-6

3x3x2x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-16-2007 10:25 AM

went for the safe weather bet eh...

letswastemoney 12-16-2007 12:42 PM

Rob Bob and Dave in the 7th has Talamo/Ellis and they've been hitting together at a 48% clip! Plus Ellis is good with 1st timers....I wouldn't take this first timer too lightly.

Kasept 12-16-2007 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Rob Bob and Dave in the 7th has Talamo/Ellis and they've been hitting together at a 48% clip! Plus Ellis is good with 1st timers....I wouldn't take this first timer too lightly.

LWM,

It's a really good race.. Spankey Come Home in there too and his comebacker wasn't bad. A 2-1 Oceanography won't surprise me and a 32-1 El Falcon wouldn't either!

Good luck...

Bogey 12-16-2007 03:15 PM

Late PK4

R7

#3 Just Julian - The $1.6 Million purchase finally graduates today.
#7 Oceanography
#11 Infinite Resource

R8

#12 Citronade
#5 Foxysox (GB)

R9

#5 Capture the Cat
#8 Hey Beautiful
#3 Themis Valentine

R10

#3 All Done Up
#4 Dancing Mica

PK4 - 3 7 11 / 5 12 / 3 5 8 / 3 4 = $36

Good Racing Luck

pmacdaddy 12-16-2007 03:37 PM

See the #1 is scratched in 9th. Rolled Steve's pk4 singling #8 in the 9th.

Not sure what to do with myself with Aqueduct on hiatus...

ArlJim78 12-16-2007 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Is Hey Beautiful scratched in the 9th?

Phoned in a play and teller told me it was a Scr???

HB is not scratched on youbet.
Sea Driver and MaKaBet are scratched

pmacdaddy 12-16-2007 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
HB is not scratched on youbet.
Sea Driver and MaKaBet are scratched

Thanks.

Little deep in the Vino here...got it wrong. Tried to play Steve's ticket for some action and thought it was the #8... Was in fact the #1 when I check HOL.

Scav 12-16-2007 04:48 PM

R6 Pick Three
 
6: 2,5
7: 3,4,5
8: 2,4

$12 per $1

lemoncrush 12-16-2007 05:00 PM

Race 6
 
Still waiting for the #3 Honette to show the form she did in her first two starts. Race could set up well for her...might sneak into the trifecta.
Will take Drysdale's other horse, Angel Craft on top.

lemoncrush 12-16-2007 05:23 PM

Late Pick 4
 
7) 4,7
8) 12
9) 3,5,8
10) 1,3,6,10

$1 Pk4 = $24

Back up ticket:

7) 3,4,5,6,7,8,11
8) 12
9) 8
10) 1

$1 Pick 4 = $7

pmacdaddy 12-16-2007 05:41 PM

Take it, but just Julian would have been sweet... Chesta House!!!!

pmacdaddy 12-16-2007 05:43 PM

Steve - that triple and super should pay a phone #... Nice!

letswastemoney 12-16-2007 05:50 PM

Well so much for Rob Bob and Dave :D Hey I see Citronnade is still there. I've been looking all day to see if she was scratched.

Bogey 12-16-2007 05:51 PM

Steve, great call in the 7th.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-16-2007 05:52 PM

nice job steveo ..handing out the holiday cash... the son of chesterhouse :D
was most impressive

3kings 12-16-2007 05:53 PM

Steve,
Nice Tri and Super. Being bored in the snow just became very profitable. Keep it rolling.

pmacdaddy 12-16-2007 06:02 PM

$2,650 on the tri. Woah...

declansharbor 12-16-2007 06:05 PM

played a dollar pick 3
12 // 3,5 // all

Kasept 12-16-2007 06:10 PM

Pat, Matt, Tom, Gus..

Thx.. Even more than baseball, this really is 'a game of redeeming qualities'.. Thought Kalookan Boss was an imperative there.


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