Offshore Belmont Odds and props

[Rupert Pupkin]

Considering that CC is 3-5 on the morning line, you would think that the offshore books would be lowering their odds on him, but they're not. He's actually going up in odds at some of the places. He is 6-5 at 5Dimes right now and that is a legitimate 6-5. There is no action if he doesn't run. There are two possibilities of why they have him at 6-5. The first possibility is that they are very confident that he's not going to win. The second possibility is that they're simply not getting much action on him. In addition, I would expect him to be slightly higher odds at a good offshore book because the good books don't mind giving out a line that only gives them a 5-10% edge. They don't need a 16% edge to make a good profit. In most cases they will make plenty of money with a 5-10% take.

I don't think CC will go off at 3-5. I think that morning-line is a little low. I think he will be either 4-5 or even money.