Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-03-2013, 08:18 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Need Goldencents or Normandy Invasion.

Here was my betting strategy I posted here for the Oaks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
DoJ on top of Pure Fun, Seaneen Girl, and Princess of Sylmar and using all 4 in horizontal wagers.
The Hall of Famer Calvin Borel cost me a very nice exacta.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-03-2013, 08:53 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

goldencents is the favorite in early betting. word is getting out about your picks, doug.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ing?source=rss
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-03-2013, 09:11 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
goldencents is the favorite in early betting. word is getting out about your picks, doug.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ing?source=rss
I don't know if I've ever seen a horse with as many irrelevant human interest angles associated with him as Goldencents has.

* Rick Pitino is a part owner: he only owns 5%... but he might as well as own 99% from the way it's been reported

* Trainer Doug O'Neill winning the race last year. I suppose this one isn't 100% irrelevant ... but it's not that meaningful

* His jockey is bidding to become the first black jockey to win the race in a century... if this race was run on a Thursday afternoon with no publicity, Kevin Krigger's presence would actually equal inflated odds. I still have no idea how Goldencent was 6/1 in the SA Derby.

* The typically myopic Californian bettors and fans don't have another contender in the race who is based in Southern Cal.

A lot of irrelevant crap is associated with Goldencents to depress his odds a little bit.

The fact that I picked him might sway pweizer and about 46 people who live in Erie...but that's about all the swing I have.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-03-2013, 09:35 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

you probably have more than 46 people at this site alone that follow your plays. the horses to follow was a tour de force.

I have a friend that's always asking me who the rachel alexandra guy likes in big races after i told him about your your early spot on her.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-03-2013, 10:20 PM
bigjag0716's Avatar
bigjag0716 bigjag0716 is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: San Francisco and Fairfield, Ca
Posts: 143
Default

I need either Normandy Invasion or Itsmyluckyday tomorrow. My double today was 2/3/4/6/8/11 with 5 and 12 for 24 bucks. Really wishing I threw in a few more horses for tomorrow, but I figured it wouldn't have been worth it because it was most likely going to be a shorter priced winner. Thanks for posting the will pays, btw.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-03-2013, 10:40 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
Super Moderator
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 4,552
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
you probably have more than 46 people at this site alone that follow your plays. the horses to follow was a tour de force.

I have a friend that's always asking me who the rachel alexandra guy likes in big races after i told him about your your early spot on her.
Thanks for the kind words, man.

This is exactly what you NOT want to have happen when you're whole bet in the race is #8 over #5, #6, and #7:






Besides Dreaming of Julia getting knocked sideways ... it appears that she cracked Pure Fun in the head with her own head.

Obviously, the 7 and 8 got all of the worst of it ... but thankfully Princess of Sylmer was able to deal with it and win.

Hopefully Dreaming of Julia and Pure Fun are both ok. DoJ was running extremely erratically, though that might have been because she was taking a lot of dirt in her face and was probably short on fitness as well from being under-trained coming into this race.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-03-2013, 10:49 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

great job doug.good luck sat
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-03-2013, 10:55 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,943
Default

good luck to all who are live for the double!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-03-2013, 11:02 PM
tector's Avatar
tector tector is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: South Florida
Posts: 1,053
Default

Anybody who doesn't listen to Doug's insights is a fool, plain and simple.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-04-2013, 08:09 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
* The typically myopic Californian bettors and fans don't have another contender in the race who is based in Southern Cal.
How about the fact that there is only one horse in the field outside of Goldencents to have started on the main track in SoCal in their career? Oxbow...and only one other to have made a start there, and that was Lines of Battle, which basically doesn't count. Goldencents is likely getting a ton of money from everyone in the pacific time zone.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-04-2013, 08:10 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Have a live Woodford/Derby P3 today which should provide building excitement...live to Slim Shadey, Silver Max, Wise Dan, Point of Entry and then 8, 12, 16 in the Derby.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-04-2013, 08:14 AM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,522
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Have a live Woodford/Derby P3 today which should provide building excitement...live to Slim Shadey, Silver Max, Wise Dan, Point of Entry and then 8, 12, 16 in the Derby.
Great ticket with tons of potential, especially if you can best POE and Wise Dan. Good Racing Luck
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-04-2013, 08:54 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: DubaiRaceNight.com
Posts: 1,263
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Great ticket with tons of potential, especially if you can best POE and Wise Dan. Good Racing Luck
I'll be calling for oxygen if Slim Shadey wins the Woodford.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:39 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.