Took a quick glance at the race. The 3 was a complete and utter standout on paper. Shame you didn't play a tri or super with those two numbers.
The winning Beyer Par for the class level was 50.
The 2, 3, and 10 were the only three horses in the field who met or exceeded par in the last 5 months.
The 10 was also making a barn switch (avg trainer to avg trainer) but sometimes horses will move-up or move-down a good bit even on lateral trainer changes.
Considering he was one of only 3 in the field to meet or exceed Beyer Par and had an unknown element to his form with a trainer change -- he wasn't a bad 65/1 shot.
Most 65/1 shots there should be about 650/1 true odds.
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10-29-2011, 12:25 PM
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