Sway Away

[bigjag0716]

He's interesting. What do you all think he will go off at? maybe in the 8-1 to 12-1 range? I think he is definitely an exotics horse for sure.

[bigjag0716]

Sorry, I didn't see the last part of your post. Yeah, I'm expecting that range of odds. I don't like him as my top horse, but I do like him in my 2nd, 3rd and 4th spots and If I were to play a double/pick 3/pick 4, I would include him.

[hockey2315]

I think he'll easily be over 10-1. . . probably closer to his 15-1 ML. I'm betting him to win and keying off him and Dance City.

[letswastemoney]

I don't get why people like him. He's never even hit the board in his 2 route efforts...

I suppose the pace will be fast here though. I just imagine him making a bold move and flattening out once again.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

I don't get why people like him. He's never even hit the board in his 2 route efforts...

I suppose the pace will be fast here though. I just imagine him making a bold move and flattening out once again.

It's certainly possible he's a closing sprinter, but doesn't he have some excuses in his route races?

He hit the gate, lost a tooth and fought Gomez after that in the Rebel. Then he was wide, moved way too early in the Arkansas Derby and got tired at the end.

He might not be good enough, but I don't think we've seen his best yet. Maybe it'll be sprinting, but I think at 15-1 (hopefully) he deserves another shot with a clean trip (hopefully).

[somerfrost]

Sway Away translates to Stay Away for me in the Preakness, I think the body of evidence indicates he is indeed a closing sprinter, probably capable of winning graded stakes at 8 furlongs, maybe stretching out to 9 furlongs in the right spot but the Preakness would appear beyond his better distances. Then again, I sure thought the Derby was asking too much of Animal Kingdom first time on the dirt. This is a crazy year with no horse stepping up as of yet so if you like Sway Away, I wish you the best.

[HaloWishingwell]

at 15-1 I'll gamble that 2 route races with excuses is not enough evidence.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by somerfrost

Sway Away translates to Stay Away for me in the Preakness, I think the body of evidence indicates he is indeed a closing sprinter, probably capable of winning graded stakes at 8 furlongs, maybe stretching out to 9 furlongs in the right spot but the Preakness would appear beyond his better distances. Then again, I sure thought the Derby was asking too much of Animal Kingdom first time on the dirt. This is a crazy year with no horse stepping up as of yet so if you like Sway Away, I wish you the best.

Do you really think there is that big of a difference between 9f and 9.5f?

I don't think he's a particularly likely win candidate, but I won't be playing any trifectas that don't include him underneath.