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#1
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I already put together a syndicate and found out that I can't place the bet in NJ or CT. Driving Parx might be my last shot. . . ugh. Looking at the entries, I am not confident.
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@BDiDonatoTDN |
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#2
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Are you sure Parx is taking it? |
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#3
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I have to assume that this day is treated very differently from a strategic point of view, especially in relation to the previous P6's at GP.
Any suggestions, strategies? How much would be a "right" amount to put into it?? |
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#4
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if it lasts until saturday. going overboard with thousand dollar tickets is not a way to go. do that tommorrow. the chances of 1 person hitting that day are going to be slim. as someone mentioned groups will have almost every combo covered...the betting sites are trying to have huge pools of people involved...it might actually pay squat....try for the big ticket tommorrow(friday)......if no one hits play a few bucks saturday...everyone and their brother will be playing a million combos saturday....buy mega million tickets your better off. i laugh people are saying its tough sequence..........no ****, i've been chasing it for weeks....what makes saturday any different other than a zillion people will probably hit it. tommorrow is the day to take one last stab.
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#5
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |
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#6
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I wouldn't touch it with a 10 foot poll. If twin spires is actually putting together a 100k ticket what are the chances they miss? I say this pays less than 20 k.
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#7
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how? if someone hits (alone) today they will get it all. the split may even be higher today, if its not hit..... i've already hit it twice on days where other people have hit(no jackpot) . thats the money i'm using to play today. believe me i know they are giving the whole pool no matter what....but if you spend 1000 dollars chasing it and its a fairly chalky day..oh, i forgot you guys are the only ones doing that......not....you might get your money back .............maybe........you will need to get multiple 50-1 shots or higher home..... and every "gold rush" fool will be tossing in covering every logical horse and then some.....but if you want to follow the sheep over the cliff....be my guest. it all sounds great until you are sharing it with thousands of other live tickets....are you the one that said "tough sequence". yeah, thats brilliance seeing that it has not been done in weeks.....chances are many more people will hit it tommorrow .......its been that way for weeks now(no jackpot). GO FOR IT TODAY. people never get pari mutuel betting....the more people have it ,....the less you get.....that simple. friday could be a block buster life changing hit,,,,,,saturday most likely will be a treasure hunt gimmick......with thousands splitting the pot. the saying is true here...the bandwagon and one is born every minute. don't listen to me...you won't anyway....sit there and do the math. what will it require to get that jackpot tommorrow?????? pretty much a miracle. i've been chasing it to get the whole thing...i've already shared the "booby" prize twice. please tell me how its a better bet when half the world might cash on it unless some really, really freaky horses win multiple races??????? especially if one were to put a thousand in ? i hope someone hits today....real dumb bet.....lol...not that i won't try tommorrow but so will half the world.
Last edited by johnny pinwheel : 04-22-2011 at 08:41 AM. |
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#8
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5,6,10/
2,3,8/ 2,3,4,7,10/ 2,10/ 1,5,12/ 2,9 |
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#9
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The takeout is 20%. So if there's $4 million bet in tomorrow, and $1.5 million in the carryover, there will be a $700k overlay on the payout- so you're playing with a ~20% bonus on the payoff, and that's just assuming the betting distribution will be "normal". Like you said, there will be tons of people playing even the most extreme combos (with Twinspires putting in $100k alone, they will have to spread extremely wide by necessity.) The chances of having a lone winning ticket tomorrow are virtually none. That is no longer the objective since the distribution is mandatory. It's taking advantage of the huge money already in the pool to hit a reasonable combo with a 20-25% bonus in the payoff. If that's not good enough for you, by all means waste your money today chasing absurd horses trying for the whole pool. Good luck.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |
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#10
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#11
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I don't think that was fair.....I mean the whole post was one of the dumbest things anyone has ever written.....give credit where credit is due....don't just narrow his idiocy down to that one sentence. He earned far less respect than that!
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
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#12
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My brain went numb reading what he wrote. It's hard to believe there are people that clueless.
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#13
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Haha no, not yet. Will probably call them tomorrow if one of the Kentucky "syndicate" members can't play it.
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@BDiDonatoTDN |
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#14
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I'm just hoping for some good weather! We all know how quick GP management is for cancelling turf races at the last moment...
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#15
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Just out of curiosity, what kind of $$$ are the "syndicate" tossing in?
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#16
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Less than you think. . . I had planned on putting in more, but then I put things in normal Pk6 terms and realized it was overkill. I think a ticket over $600 is too much.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN |
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#17
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Tickets plural I should say
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@BDiDonatoTDN |
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#18
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Twinspires has a socalled players pool, and they are going to put together a 100K ticket,and people can put in as little as 10.00 freaken dollars...
That is pretty sick, and they will probably hit it, and it very possble people will lose money on the deal..... Even if they hit, and are the only ticket, you might get at best 40-1 for your money.....thats if the pool is 4 million or so.... I will pass Twinspires, thanks anyway. |
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#19
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Quote:
First run through, it's a VERY tough sequence.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |
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#20
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Found out today that at least in the Arlington tote system, you can only bet 4600 combination on a single ticket. The tote manager 'assumed' that it was the same way at other locations.
Just a heads up for people getting a little nuts |
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