Last 15 KY Derby winners at this point

[The Indomitable DrugS]

If you took a poll of everyone before the Sham Stakes - I'm pretty sure Giacomo would have been voted the #1 most likely horse to win the Kentucky Derby that year.

Even after his extremely maligned Sham stakes defeat - he was only 25/1 and 26/1 in the futures. In Vegas - I think he was like bet down to 10/1 or 12/1 before the Sham.

I think part of the reason he went off at 50/1 in the Derby was because so many people had future wagers live on him.