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  #1  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:06 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nostradamus
An Albertrani win and a Yankee loss. Tough day coming for you.

Good luck betting $1000 into the pick 6 to win $500. Adding Dylan Thomas is like throwing money away. Bet with reason, not with dislike of a trainer.
I don't care what the guy whose about 11% this meet and was lower in perecentage the last meet at the Spa does. yeah I've been tossing him and its working out great quite frankly. The 5-6 winners hes had in the last 3 months have all been heavily favored. Bern accounted fortwo of them at 1-2 or less, and he had a maiden win at 1-2 as well. Boy thats a hell of an ROI in the last three months huh? Hes been ice cold for three months and if you had a brain you'd be tossing him as well.
I don't dislike him, and I think he actually desreves more credit for his job with Bern than he gets from people. He doesn't get in his way, and many trainers would. He realizes he has a superior animal and trains him that way. You don't see him speed drilling the horse in bullet times, or working him in company. He keeps him on a 5 furlong maintenance drill program that keeps him sharp and fit enough to keep an edge, yet doesn't send him over the top.
That may not sound like the high praise I'm giving him, but it is high praise.
Lots of trainers have had very talented animals and ruined them with speed drills and overwork that melts them or causes an injury. Quite frankly despite this horses talent, had he not had a Albertrani training him who knows if he would ever been this good, or kept as sharp as he has. I really admire what hes done with this horse and he desrves a lot of credit, more than he gets from the press as if he is just a footnote in the story.
But its my theory that perhaps the pressure and daily obsession with a once in a lifetime horse has hurt the performance of his other horses.
He won 3 races at the spa, two with Bern and had a miserable ROI and win rate. In July at Belmont he was icy as well. Now at this meet hes floating at about 10% with two wins and one of them a 1-2 shot. If you've bet this guy and keyed him the last three months you have about 6 wins total and 3 of em are 1-2 shots.
I think its prudent to keep tossing out his non Bern horses and I have the proof, perecentages, and ROI on him the last three months as FACTS that you cannot disprove, not opinions. Unless you like 9-10% trainers over a three month span who constantly get bet down with short priced horses and who have three of 6 wins with 1-2 shots. So whose the dummy, me or you?
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  #2  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:10 AM
Nostradamus Nostradamus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
I don't care what the guy whose about 11% this meet and was lower in perecentage the last meet at the Spa does. yeah I've been tossing him and its working out great quite frankly. The 5-6 winners hes had in the last 3 months have all been heavily favored. Bern accounted fortwo of them at 1-2 or less, and he had a maiden win at 1-2 as well. Boy thats a hell of an ROI in the last three months huh? Hes been ice cold for three months and if you had a brain you'd be tossing him as well.
I don't dislike him, and I think he actually desreves more credit for his job with Bern than he gets from people. He doesn't get in his way, and many trainers would. He realizes he has a superior animal and trains him that way. You don't see him speed drilling the horse in bullet times, or working him in company. He keeps him on a 5 furlong maintenance drill program that keeps him sharp and fit enough to keep an edge, yet doesn't send him over the top.
That may not sound like the high praise I'm giving him, but it is high praise.
Lots of trainers have had very talented animals and ruined them with speed drills and overwork that melts them or causes an injury. Quite frankly despite this horses talent, had he not had a Albertrani training him who knows if he would ever been this good, or kept as sharp as he has. I really admire what hes done with this horse and he desrves a lot of credit, more than he gets from the press as if he is just a footnote in the story.
But its my theory that perhaps the pressure and daily obsession with a once in a lifetime horse has hurt the performance of his other horses.
He won 3 races at the spa, two with Bern and had a miserable ROI and win rate. In July at Belmont he was icy as well. Now at this meet hes floating at about 10% with two wins and one of them a 1-2 shot. If you've bet this guy and keyed him the last three months you have about 6 wins total and 3 of em are 1-2 shots.
I think its prudent to keep tossing out his non Bern horses and I have the proof, perecentages, and ROI on him the last three months as FACTS that you cannot disprove, not opinions. Unless you like 9-10% trainers over a three month span who constantly get bet down with short priced horses and who have three of 6 wins with 1-2 shots. So whose the dummy, me or you?
Trains the best horse in the world, maybe the best since Cigar. Was the assitant trainer to the last great horse too. He doesn't cheat. That is why he has a tough time in NY. Once NYRA is gone and legit people take over the drug tests, things will change in NY. The samples are going to have to start coming from the horses that actually ran, not the others in the barn.
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  #3  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:12 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nostradamus
Trains the best horse in the world, maybe the best since Cigar. Was the assitant trainer to the last great horse too. He doesn't cheat. That is why he has a tough time in NY. Once NYRA is gone and legit people take over the drug tests, things will change in NY. The samples are going to have to start coming from the horses that actually ran, not the others in the barn.
Oh I see, ok. That great, so now you allege that NYRA employees are faking samples in the drug testing.
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  #4  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:20 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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dylan has more than just danzig as a dirt influence...of course he doesn't know that. whether he takes to dirt or not---guess we'll know later.
but i really don't want an import winning.
order of finish:
bern
wanderin
dylan
andromeda

whooopie. what a field.
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  #5  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:36 AM
Nostradamus Nostradamus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Oh I see, ok. That great, so now you allege that NYRA employees are faking samples in the drug testing.
I didn't say that. I am very careful about the words I use. I never use words that would bring a lawsuit. I know what to say. Calling someone a liar is not going to bring a lawsuit. That is a matter of opinion. Saying that they are faking samples would be a problem. Insinuating that it might be happening is just an opinion. I know how to post without getting others in trouble.

That said, I will no longer comment on NYRA. It is pointless. They will get the bid or they won't.
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  #6  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:42 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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if you didn't go about flinging mud hoping some would stick, you wouldn't have to measure your words.
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  #7  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:46 AM
Pointg5 Pointg5 is offline
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I would like to see Bernardini get a test as much as the next guy who is not star struck, but from my memory O'brien hasn't had much luck bringing these turf to dirts, Johannesburg is about the only one I can think of doing this for himk...
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  #8  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:51 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pointg5
I would like to see Bernardini get a test as much as the next guy who is not star struck, but from my memory O'brien hasn't had much luck bringing these turf to dirts, Johannesburg is about the only one I can think of doing this for himk...
i'd like to see him tested. he hasn't been since his debut. and who saw that?!
he won't be tested today i feel. how could he be with only three horses, one being the hapless andromeda. now watch that one come up and win big!! yeah, right!!
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  #9  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:47 AM
oracle80
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig188
if you didn't go about flinging mud hoping some would stick, you wouldn't have to measure your words.
Its all he has to do. He doesn't know anything, so why not just fling mud.
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