4/21-22 (KEE): Bewitch S. (G3); Elkhorn (G2)

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Notoriously valuable angle for 12-furlong turf races.

The way KEE turf has been playing? Possibly.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

The way KEE turf has been playing? Possibly.

The Keeneland turf has been playing to speed? There hasn't been a wire to wire winner in a week and only two races between last weekend and yesterday went to a horse that was 1st or 2nd at the pace call.

NT

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

The Keeneland turf has been playing to speed? There hasn't been a wire to wire winner in a week and only two races between last weekend and yesterday went to a horse that was 1st or 2nd at the pace call.

NT

Wire to wire and playing to speed are two different things. For the totality of the meet I would say it has been much kinder to front running horses than closers.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Wire to wire and playing to speed are two different things. For the totality of the meet I would say it has been much kinder to front running horses than closers.

Thanks for the distinction. I think it's been a fair course.

NT

[booner]

I'm keeping an eye on Pick Six. I have a feeling he's ready for a big run.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by booner

I'm keeping an eye on Pick Six. I have a feeling he's ready for a big run.

He ran the fastest last out fig, I doubt that will be lost on the bettors but maybe...it is a large field.

[hockey2315]

I might bet Sudden War, but I don't see the "speed-of-the-speed" thing either.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I might bet Sudden War, but I don't see the "speed-of-the-speed" thing either.

Timeless fashion may be sent but his race on the KEE turf at 12 furlongs was forwardly placed but hardly winging it....I like Sudden War's pattern and price.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Price? He is the third choice ML, with Mcpeek and coming out of 2 Cali graded stakes I could see him being the chalk.... I dont get the price appeal either. I dont get this horse at all, what was his excuse 2 back when he got away with 49.4-1.15-2.05.2 and was basicley destroyed late?

When someone likes a horse why do you think that person is trying to convince you? I don't give a **** who you like or dislike. In a 12 horse field there are plenty of places to bet. Find one.

[booner]

FWIW, in the last 32 races run at 1.5 miles on the Keeneland turf, one horse has wired the field. During that same span, 7 horses that led the race for 1.25 miles or entering the stretch finished second.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I dont, but you have given 3 reassons for liking this horse and 2 of them are just stupid, and false..... Speed and price appeal? He wont be on the lead and you will be lucky to get 5-1.

I didn't realize 6-1 was a terrible price if you like a horse....and if 12 horses go he will be that or higher I would think. If he's 3-1 I surely like him less. We'll see.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Price? He is the third choice ML, with Mcpeek and coming out of 2 Cali graded stakes I could see him being the chalk.... I dont get the price appeal either. I dont get this horse at all, what was his excuse 2 back when he got away with 49.4-1.15-2.05.2 and was basicley destroyed late?

Most likely Sudden War will end up being the favorite. I take my chances with Expansion.

[booner]

I don't like Tiger's Rock, but I do like Expansion. He will be in my play somewhere.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I think your way way off on this race. I dont think he is the speed of the speed, but good luck.
I would almost be willing to bet he does not even make the early lead.

Ok.