Change of Plans for Lava Man

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

Cacique only has one chance to beat TTM in the BC Turf. His only chance will be if Hurricane Run or one of the other great European horses blows by TTM and then TTM gives up. That does happen sometimes. Sometimes when a horse is running his hardest and he gets blown by, he can get discouraged and give up. That would be the only scenario that I could see that would allow Cacique to beat TTM. If Hurricane Run and/or Schirocco blow by TTM at the 1/4 pole or 1/8th pole, I could see Cacique making a late run and getting by TTM right at the end of the race. Other than that scenario, Cacique will not beat TTM.

That's sort of the scenerio that rates to happen over 75% of the time.