If Zenyatta wins the Classic

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

That does come into the thought process.

Raven's Pass would have had a tough time beating the Curlin we saw throughout his 3yo season and through the World Cup. But the Curlin we saw those last few months of his career was nowhere near the same horse and I believe that Raven's Pass would have dusted him on any surface. I didn't see the surface beat a horse that day. I saw a horse that was tired and worn down and ran to the same mediocre level he ran at in the Woodward and JCGC. If he had been running against quality horses in those two races instead of the goats he was facing, we would have seen him beaten a couple of times.

I agree that Curlin was not the same horse towards the end of last year. But wasn't Curlin, a confirmed grinder who never really had a terrific burst of speed as his career wore on, asked to do something in the Classic that he was incapable of doing on any surface?

I thought Raven's Pass clearly the best horse that day but a big part of that was that he got the best ride. Dettori rode a perfect race and tactically knew that he had a chance if Curlin moved first.

I am just not willing to say that Zenyatta beating Summer Bird (a horse who trained so poorly over synthetic that his trainer gave him away) and Mine That Bird (who ran last over this very surface a year ago) is going to boost her HOY credentials because she will have beaten horses who Rachel beat as well.

NT