the aq inner track primer

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

can anyone chime in on some trends and things to look for when playing the big a inner meet.i have some things i use but would like to hear from some others,,thanks in advance..hooves

just bet on Contessa and Dutrow when it looks like the horse has no shot......and conversely bet against them when it looks to good to be true.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

keeping an eye on track trends 'bias' and keeping notes may prove to be profitable.it does take time and some think it is a bias when in fact there is not. many pps are bad at diffrent distances.many of the top jocks leave and you need to find one to hang your hat on..cc lopez is pretty good i read in drf that a few are coming from laurel,and delaware.domingez rules the roost.

good luck

hooves

[NTamm1215]

Having some type of system where you guage the bias from day-to-day is very important. I use Steve Klein's bias numbers that I compute on my own. Others may have more advanced or perfected systems.

Trips are obviously important for all of the typical reasons, i.e. going wide on the inner is generally a death sentence.

For the better part of the meet last year the track was fair, however, when there was a bias it usually lasted for a week. It was also quite surprising that days where the track was wet it often played fairly, if not tilted towards late runners. For example, the bias rating on a very sloppy track on 3/8 (Gotham day) was only 80 out of 300. On February 1, which happened to be the first wet track in three weeks, the rating was a 129. From February 6-February 10, the rating was well over 200, with a peak being 250 on Friday February 8, where 5 of 8 winners went wire-to-wire.

As for December of last year, there were no days that stuck out as particularly biased except for when racing returned after Christmas. The 12/26 track was the most biased of the inner track meet where 7 of 8 winners went wire-to-wire, including Buddy's Holiday and Unbreelievable, who are winless since.

As was mentioned also, Dominguez wins a lot of races. I hear Garcia is headed to Fla, so look for Dominguez to now COMPLETELY dominate. None of the apprentices are particularly impressive, and I'm not a CC Lopez fan.

Good luck!

NT