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hoovesupsideyourhead 12-02-2008 02:02 PM

the aq inner track primer
 
can anyone chime in on some trends and things to look for when playing the big a inner meet.i have some things i use but would like to hear from some others,,thanks in advance..hooves

10 pnt move up 12-02-2008 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
can anyone chime in on some trends and things to look for when playing the big a inner meet.i have some things i use but would like to hear from some others,,thanks in advance..hooves

just bet on Contessa and Dutrow when it looks like the horse has no shot......and conversely bet against them when it looks to good to be true.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-02-2008 03:39 PM

keeping an eye on track trends 'bias' and keeping notes may prove to be profitable.it does take time and some think it is a bias when in fact there is not. many pps are bad at diffrent distances.many of the top jocks leave and you need to find one to hang your hat on..cc lopez is pretty good i read in drf that a few are coming from laurel,and delaware.domingez rules the roost.

good luck

hooves

NTamm1215 12-02-2008 05:49 PM

Having some type of system where you guage the bias from day-to-day is very important. I use Steve Klein's bias numbers that I compute on my own. Others may have more advanced or perfected systems.

Trips are obviously important for all of the typical reasons, i.e. going wide on the inner is generally a death sentence.

For the better part of the meet last year the track was fair, however, when there was a bias it usually lasted for a week. It was also quite surprising that days where the track was wet it often played fairly, if not tilted towards late runners. For example, the bias rating on a very sloppy track on 3/8 (Gotham day) was only 80 out of 300. On February 1, which happened to be the first wet track in three weeks, the rating was a 129. From February 6-February 10, the rating was well over 200, with a peak being 250 on Friday February 8, where 5 of 8 winners went wire-to-wire.

As for December of last year, there were no days that stuck out as particularly biased except for when racing returned after Christmas. The 12/26 track was the most biased of the inner track meet where 7 of 8 winners went wire-to-wire, including Buddy's Holiday and Unbreelievable, who are winless since.

As was mentioned also, Dominguez wins a lot of races. I hear Garcia is headed to Fla, so look for Dominguez to now COMPLETELY dominate. None of the apprentices are particularly impressive, and I'm not a CC Lopez fan.

Good luck!

NT

Dr. Watson 12-02-2008 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
can anyone chime in on some trends and things to look for when playing the big a inner meet.i have some things i use but would like to hear from some others,,thanks in advance..hooves

Bet every horse that Eric Donavon picks to finish 3rd.

thunderdan09 12-02-2008 08:08 PM

Apprentice, Maylon Studart has won some races this past month. He is not really impressive, but he will give your horse a good ride.

eajinabi 12-02-2008 08:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
Apprentice, Maylon Studart has won some races this past month. SHe is not really impressive, but She will give your horse a good ride.

FIFY

Hickory Hill Hoff 12-02-2008 08:32 PM

Paraneck Stable usually wins a few on the "Inner-track" :$:

MaTH716 12-02-2008 08:35 PM

C.C. Lopez on speed horses, also look at the horse for the course angle. There are certain horses that just love running on the inner.

10 pnt move up 12-03-2008 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
C.C. Lopez on speed horses, also look at the horse for the course angle. There are certain horses that just love running on the inner.

CC Lopez and his curious rides on speed horses.

robfla 12-03-2008 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
Apprentice, Maylon Studart has won some races this past month. He is not really impressive, but he will give your horse a good ride.

I'm switching teams if thats a "HE"

CSC 12-03-2008 11:31 AM

Someone correct me if I am wrong, but will "inside and speed" be the most overused adjectives to describe the meet? Maker is coming in which is very interesting, and how about Chad and Bruce Brown, Diprima? I'd be willing to take a few shots at overbet Contessa horses if the opportunity presents itself down the line.

I should postscript this should the 2 Brown's decide to race in N.Y this winter...could be an interesting meet for the traditional high % Trainers.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-03-2008 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
Apprentice, Maylon Studart has won some races this past month. He is not really impressive, but he will give your horse a good ride.

thanks mr dan..ive stayed away from posting on your capping threads and good luck to you in that regaurd.but you would do well to be very accurate in any statments outside those walls.

GPK 12-03-2008 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
OOOOOOOOOO

Curious is being very nice.


Speaking of Curious.

Ramon in the last today??:zz: :wf :zz:

Rudeboyelvis 12-03-2008 09:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
Apprentice, Maylon Studart has won some races this past month. He is not really impressive, but he will give your horse a good ride.



I know where this is going. Don't stop me.

Rudeboyelvis 12-03-2008 09:25 PM

Philski's the man :tro:


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