Tomlinson Ratings for Derby Contenders

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Gate Dancer

While I know this will annoy some people, I have included the Dosage Profile of all horses and indicated which have an index over 4.00. What I find interesting is that only 3 of the top 10 horses listed with the biggest 'Tommies' have any points in the two 'stamina' wings of their profile. Not really sure how this can be explained. Believe in dosage or not, it still holds true that having at least 1 point in either of the 'stamina' wings is helpful come the first Saturday in May. I realize we seem to be in an era where many rules have been broken lately but my handicapping will not totally ignore this statistic of the past.

While I agree with you, the middle number is considered the 'classic' category. Wasn't the old rule of thumb that the horse should have more points in that middle category or to the right of it rather than more points to the left? I don't know, I've always paid more attention to that middle number in regards to the Kentucky Derby. Having points in the Solid and Professional categories certainly helps, but I wouldn't toss out a horse if they didn't have that. Jazil, for example, didn't have any points in the Solid or Professional categories, but he won the 12 furlong Belmont. *Shrugs.*