Belmont 5/9/07

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by philcski

A couple Belmont thoughts...

R1) #6 Military Major (15-1 ML) is interesting. Last time at this trip and level, he registered a 2 length victory where the field was strung out pretty good behind him before getting trounced by the Dutrow Indian War Dance for $50k. Colita may be done and I wouldn't touch him at 3/1.

R2) #5 Ruth Drive (4-1 ML) has the pace advantage on this group and I'd expect Arroyo to be sending, hopefully he can control the pace to enough to leave something left in the stretch.

R7) #4 Aquired Cat (3-1 ML) will be murder against this group back on her preferred surface. Doubtful the 3-1 holds up. A solid P3, P4 key in a race many will be spreading.

R9) #5 Saint Chi Chi (5-1 ML) drops from MSW's and gets Prado, ran her final quarter in :23 4/5 in her last which would toast this group if she can get a little closer to the pace early.

Nice work. I can't beleive that Zippy Shannon is entered for a tag in the 7th.

I like Aquired Cat but can't leave ZS off. Zippy Shannon is 10 of 12 ITM with a 50% win rate (including a stake) and one of the top City Zip progenys. I'll be amazed if Linda Rice lets her get passed the claim box.

Edit - old data - just got the pp's for the 7th - she's had 15 starts, 11 ITM...first time over turf - Schosberg is 0-17 first time turf starts and she's coming off 2 month layoff....me thinks the tag is making more sense...Probably won't use her.