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#1
04-13-2007, 06:45 AM
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How many horses have run in the Derby with just 2 preps?...
If the population of 2 prep runners is quite small then it would be reasonable to assume that the number of 2 prep winners would be quite small... Also how many 2 prep runners were Derby Fever type entrants as opposed to notable horses with calculated/planned 2 prep foundation? I am not endorsing the 2 prep approach...I'm simply saying that there are various ways to compare past history to current events....figures lie and liars figure. 
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#2
04-13-2007, 07:24 AM
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I would prefer a 3-4 race campaign prep but only 2 would NOT be the reason I wouldn't back Street Sense or Great Hunter on Derby Day.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you Last edited by philcski : 04-13-2007 at 07:48 AM.
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#3
04-13-2007, 07:42 AM
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Street Sense in particular. I can think of about 1,528 reasons to not back Hard Spun with my money, but he's not among the two prep horses pointed at the 2007 Derby. I count three 2007 starts for our boy.
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The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#4
04-13-2007, 07:47 AM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#5
04-13-2007, 07:51 AM
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Anywho, my point is Street Sense is the nuts and Great Hunter is a stud and they're both only going to have two preps headed into the Derby. Hard Spun would be up there with the favorites if his connections weren't downright loony.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#6
04-13-2007, 10:09 AM
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The horse doesnt know how many preps he has had. The horse doesnt care. I think we are going to see more horses who already have the graded money only have 2 preps. I also think we are going to see more horses with 5-7 weeks off before the Derby. heck, just 5 years ago I believe, the Wood, Arkansas and Bluegrass were all run on the same day (usually about 3-4 weeks from the Derby). The only horse who needs 3 preps this year is Curlin because he had ZERO foundation.
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#7
04-13-2007, 10:32 AM
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When there are 50 cars in a race and 49 of them have six speeds and one has only four, the one with only four is at a distince disadvantage. When there is a race with 50 cars and 25 of them have six speed and 25 have four, the odds are more in your favor.
Usually, the ones that have come into the Derby with only two preps have had plenty of other disadvantages to overcome than just that. But in this new age, when more and more top contenders are coming in this way, it's just a matter of time before two preps becomes the norm rather than the exception. Once one wins, trainers being the copycats they are, will surely try to follow the same path with their horses.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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#8
04-13-2007, 12:32 PM
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Java OUT
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