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Old 04-09-2007, 11:51 AM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: saratoga ny
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maybe, but i wouldn't hold my breath.i liked nobiz saturday, wouldn't bet him at 3-5 to win but the exacta was nice. i wouldn't bet any horse (AGS) that hides out in tampa. street sense is different because he used tampa as a race to come back in. after seeing how chilokee ran in the florida derby ,sightseeing was an absolute ridiculous overlay. the fact that nobiz ran headstrong saturday tells me hes in big trouble going 1 1/4, 4 weeks from now unless he can relax. especially if theres the usual bunch of horses that have no shot and go 46 or under to the half, if nobiz gets sucked into that well ,rip up those chalky tickets. its one reason i'm glad he won saturday because the week before the derby he'll be the best thing since sliced bread. the other thing is aqueduct seems to be his favorite place, can he carry his form to another surface? i havn't seen it yet. favorites and the derby, well its not a good prospect.
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Old 04-09-2007, 12:20 PM
easy goer
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
after seeing how chilokee ran in the florida derby ,sightseeing was an absolute ridiculous overlay.....
Yes. Actually his last two races, he broke from the 9 hole and 11 hole at GP. THose posts are bad and he lost two races by less than 2 len. To Chelokee and Delightful Kiss both pretty good horses. In the Chelokee race I think he was ahead in mid stretch and then got caught near the wire after running wide most of the way.

So, it's not like the horse is suddenly putting it all together, looking at his ground loss in the last two it looks like sat. result is a good reflection of how good he is.
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