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  #19  
Old 02-03-2007, 03:35 PM
bellsbendboy
 
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Default GP 4

7) Holy Bull BOLD START has the look of live horse after gamely defeating entry level foes off the shelf. His dam Beyered in the mid-nineties and so has three siblings. Kenny fabulous with youngsters, Kent D stays and last Saturday three quarters just fine. Adding 'Showbiz who has been working lights out for clever conditioner as homebred tries to follow in his granddads footsteps.. Go For Gin.

Suwannee Cannot quite comprehend Nottawasaga off at nearly 30-1 in a race she targeted some six months earlier. 700K Keeneland grad, named for Toronto amusement park has always had a spot of class and actually ran a few ticks faster than the Marshua River two races later where Naissance Royale finished a troubled second. Nottawasaga should improve here as handicappers bounce more often than horses and work last Saturday matches up with Invasor's five eights. 'Royale certainly figures for exceptional grass conditioner with the extra real estate a big plus. These two in a strangely weighted event.

Donn Playing this sequence because of the extraordinary hype surrounding Invasor and his vulnerability in this spot. I would have singled Strong Contender but understand he is stranded at a rest area and the trainers cell phone is going dead!! Hesanoldsalt, should he win, would earn more than he has in his entire fifteen race career! Yet the others do not appeal and 'Salt gets nine pounds from a horse that has had one race in the last six months. Not an easy spot in last after winning the Hooper picking up eleven pounds, but now Live Oak homey drops ten on those. A rule of thumb, primitive as it may be says; at nine panels for each pound dropped add one Beyer point. I suspect 'Salt with a new top could get to a 109 or so and that may be enough as Invasor may be fit, but not sharp?

10) While turf to dirt is bunch of baloney Rutledge Cat is doing just that for solid connections. Tale of the Cat sophomore seems to have these over a barrel... but we will add Seaside Links. Casse was able to get this colt bred long on long to win his debut at 4 1/2 panels in June! 100K keeneland grad has faced better and that sure was a confident looking five eights last Friday.
Call it: 6,8,/ 1,3 / 6 / 1,5 Play tomorrow in new orleans. BBB
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