Beyers..... I Just Dont Understand Them

[Thunder Gulch]

Originally Posted by POINTGIVEN1985

i will give a few examples of why i dont understand them, and why i think they are totally irrelavant in chosing a horse to wager on..

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What's nearly totally irrelavant in choosing a horse to wager on is the final raw time. I always say it, but here goes again: Don't use speed figures unless you know what you are looking at. Do yourself a favor and read "Picking Winners" to get the basis of how speed figures are created. There are different methodologies and Beyer himself has improved in the method he laid out in PW, but the idea is the same. The racing surface changes and, thus the times of the races change. Without adjusting by applying a variant, you are being far too simplistic....one more thing to pay particular attention to- learn the figure value of a beaten length for whatever figs you use. 1pt does not = 1 length and the value changes depending on distance.