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#1
08-08-2021, 09:25 AM
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Wagered: $112.00 Returned: $64.30 Best bet: Race 8 - #4 Shesawildjoker, 10/1 ML (Donk/Velazquez) Best value: Race 6 - #2 Free Chickens, 10/1 ML (Abreu/Saez) Last edited by moses : 08-08-2021 at 11:26 AM. 
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#2
08-11-2021, 10:32 AM
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Wednesday August 11th I'm not crazy about too many horses on this card. I think Gotta Go Mo in the 4th is probably the most likely winner today and considered making him my "best bet" but he's 7/5 so I'm going to take a shot with Lucky Brody who gets some class relief and faces off against a duo of favorites with possible distance limitations. I'm not totally against ML favorite Town Avenger in the 7th. She looks like a pretty talented filly but I suspect she may get bet down even more than that. Casse has been ice cold at Saratoga...but Earth Strike had some trouble last time out and still finished well and I think will appreciate the added distance. Plus Rosario is back aboard. Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Lucky Brody, 10/1 ML (Noda/Franco). Best value: Race 7 - #4 Earth Strike, 8/1 ML (Casse/Rosario).
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#3
08-12-2021, 10:18 AM
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Returned: $64.30 Well I was right to bet against the favorites in race 5…but landed on the wrong longshot. Earth Strike ran alright but finished a distant 4th. Going to go with a pair of Pletcher horses today, though I wouldn’t be shocked if we don’t get the ML prices on them. Best bet: Race 4 - #1 Chocolate Cookie, 3/1 ML (Pletcher/I.Ortiz) Best value: Race 10 - #12 Abaan, 6/1 ML (Pletcher/Saez)
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#4
08-12-2021, 03:57 PM
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Friday August 13th
Best bet: Race 9 - #3 Bon Raison, 8/1 ML (Sisterson/Vargas). I missed out on Lexitonian and don’t want to miss out again. The works have been incredible and everything points to him being ready to run a big race. Best value: Race 6 - #9 Ace Up Her Sleeve, 15/1 ML (Klesaris/Gaffalione). Pletcher’s horse is the one to beat here but I’ll take a shot on this one who Steve Klesaris ships up from Delaware after a nice workout on August 3rd. Alternate: Race 5 - #5 Lia Marina, 5/1 ML (Clement/Rosario) With two 2nd places on Thursday, I now stand at… Wagered: $136.00 Returned: $74.10 Last edited by moses : 08-12-2021 at 05:25 PM.
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#5
08-14-2021, 12:57 AM
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Wagered: $144.00 Returned: $74.10 Saturday August 14th Best bet: Race 6 - #12 Major General, 6/1 ML (AE) (Pletcher/Rosario) Best value: Race 3 - #3 Tapaloof, 20/1 ML (Kimmel/Davis)
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#6
08-14-2021, 09:28 AM
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#8
08-17-2021, 02:25 PM
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Things have been pretty ugly for me lately. I'm now at:
Wagered: $160.00 Returned: $74.10 Wednesday August 18th Best bet: Race 6 - #6 Gailhorsewind, 3/1 ML (Rice/J.Ortiz). I still think that this is a very talented turf horse and I'm going to buy-in with the rider switch and the addition of blinkers. I also wouldn't be shocked to see that 3/1 ML price drift up a bit and if that happens, I'm all over this one. Alternate: Race 4 - #3 Blewitt, 2/1 ML (Pletcher/Saez). There is some rain in the forecast so it's possible that the turf races end up off. If so, I like Blewitt as the lone speed in this one and expect him to run much better in his 2nd start off the layoff. Best value: Race 10 - #9 A Colt Named Susie, 30/1 ML (Noda/Samuel). This horse drops from MSW to MCL, a move that Noda isn't particularly successful with...but the one thing Samuel probably does well is sprint and I really don't like any of the likely favorites in this one...so why not take a big swing? Alternate: Race 8 - #3 Derrynane, 5/1 ML (Clement/Rosario). I have my doubts that we're getting 5/1 on this horse...but a solid bet at that price.
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