Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by jms62

Early riser it breeds success.. Which you know very little about in all aspects of your life. As for reading Comprehension is there a class that explains **** like this?

Double 3 and 14 paid $40. Comprende ? Your head still spinning from that terrible takedown yesterday ?

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Double 3 and 14 paid $40. Comprende ? Your head still spinning from that terrible takedown yesterday ?

To no ones surprise you were a no show today.

Such a p.ussy.

[moses]

Well, my picks for Wednesday were awful. Hopefully today will be a little better.

Thursday, July 22

Best Bet: Race 7 - #6 Quantitativbreezin, 7/2 ML (Cox/Franco) This race is a bit intriguing. You've got Traffic Lane who ran in the Demoiselle last year now in for a tag for $16K. My Alluring Lady drops from the allowance ranks into a $16K claimer. I don’t trust either of them. You've also got a good amount of speed signed on and Traffic Lane, My Alluring Lady, and Cause to Dream add blinkers. I like Quantitativbreezin switching back to dirt, which I think is her preferred surface and Cox/Franco hitting at a 63% clip doesn't hurt (albeit in a small sample size). The pace worries me a bit but this track seemed to favor speed yesterday so I'll hope it continues today.

Best Value: Race 10 - #11 New York Supreme, 10/1 ML (Bush/Santana) The expected favorite in this one has a tendency to get stuck wide around the turn and drawing the 12th post does her no favors here. New York Supreme's race last year at Saratoga puts her in the ballpark with the rest of these. In that race, she never seemed to fully settle though she flashed some speed. She's now a year older and coming off a long layoff. So the question is if she has improved at all and whether she's ready to run. Unlike the favorite to the outside of her, I think she's got enough early speed to grab the lead and get good position and I'm not overly impressed with any of the other horses in this one.


Tally
Wagered: $8.00
Returned: $0.00

[moses]

Another shutout as Quantitativbreezin did not run particularly well and New York Supreme took the lead around the turn but faded down the stretch to finish 3rd.

Friday, July 23

Best Bet: Race 5 - #3 Gailhorsewind, 7/2 ML (Rice/Lezcano) What first caught my eye about this horse is that she would have had to run the final furlong of the race two back in about 10 seconds flat, if the past performances are accurate. I don't think they are but I went back and watched that race and regardless of the time, she really kicks it into gear in the stretch. She is about 3 lengths behind Tuscan Queen at the 1/8 pole and she finishes about a length and a half ahead of her. I don't know if we'll get 7/2 on her but that was an impressive move and I'll forgive her for last time out as Heman Harkie was aboard.

Best Value: Race 9 - #7 Tobys Heart, 10/1 ML (Lynch/Castellano) I'm not sure if Tobys Heart is a turf miler or not (her best races have come in sprints) but she finished very gamely last time out after a bump at the start and making a big move around turn and she didn't get the best of pace setups that day. With Jouster and Navratilova both in here, I'm expecting a quicker pace and that should set things up nicely for Tobys Heart as well as some of the other closers. Maybe I'm crazy to go against not only Chad Brown but FOUR of his horses...but Chad also only has 2 wins in 19 starts so far at Saratoga.

Tally
Wagered: $16.00
Returned: $0.00

[moses]

So looking around damn near everyone is on Gailhorsewind. I guess we’ll see what sort of odds we get.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by moses

So looking around damn near everyone is on Gailhorsewind. I guess we’ll see what sort of odds we get.

I think youll get close to 7-2 with 5-2 at worse. Its a pretty nice race. 8 will be tough but both 7 and 9 could be interesting here. Good luck today

[moses]

Well, another losing day. I'm going to post my picks for tomorrow now and will add commentary if I get the chance and will have to check for scratches tomorrow.

Saturday, July 24

Best bet: Race 7 - #11 Space Launch, 7/2 ML (Clement/Rosario)

Best value: Race 2 - #4 Pathetique, 15/1 ML (Bauer/Gaffalione)


Tally
Wagered: $24.00
Returned: $0.00