Two at Toga

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Best bets: $32.00 wagered. $11.20 returned.
Longshots: $32.00 wagered. $18.80 returned.
Total: $64.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.

After a nice start, I haven't hit anything since Baffert's Tale of the Union ran 2nd over a week ago now. Yikes!

Best bet. Race 3 - #5 French Reef (4/5 ML). Considering the fact that I haven't picked a single top 2 finisher in a week, I'm going to just go with the horse that I think has the best chance of running top 2 tomorrow. Normally, I'd try to search for a little value...but I've got to do something to end this losing streak. This one is very fast and I don't think the others will be able to keep up. But you may want to bet a few dollars against him, just in case my streak continues.

Longshot. Race 7 - #2 Plot the Dots (8/1 ML). Last time out, Trombetta sent this one into stakes company for his turf debut. Bumped a couple times at the start, he was wide throughout and seemed to run out of gas toward the end of the race. But he'll now get much needed class relief and Rosario can hopefully work out a nice trip for him to close into what looks like a pretty honest pace. He's got that tall, leggy frame that we often see from Uncle Mo progeny and I always like to see that for turf routers. Given that the connections thought highly enough of him to throw him into a stakes race, I think he could be dangerous here.

Actually felt pretty good about these picks so it figures that 1-3-5-7 are off the turf. Without comment, I'll switch my picks to:

Best bet. Race 5 - #11 Likeable (4/1 ML)
Longshot. Race 10 - #2 Kid Chocolate (15/1 ML)