Weds 12/9: AQU Inner Track Opening Day

[LoneStarHorse]

Race 4: 7-6-5

My pick ran 2nd at 3/5

Once again speed ran 1/2 a trend is beginning


23.1 :46.1 :58.2 1:11.2

[jms62]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

Race 4: 7-6-5

My pick ran 2nd at 3/5

Once again speed ran 1/2 a trend is beginning


23.1 :46.1 :58.2 1:11.2

Hopefully you aren't betting $200 Win on a 3/5 shot trying to dig out of a 14K hole.

[LoneStarHorse]

Race 5: 3-2-5-6

My pick ran 4th, the other Rudy horse won at odds on

5th straight race, the winner hasn't been worse than 2nd at any call

:22.4 :46.1 :58.4 1:12-

[LoneStarHorse]

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

Originally Posted by jms62

Hopefully you aren't betting $200 Win on a 3/5 shot trying to dig out of a 14K hole.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

You don't look at odds when you bet? I'm afraid that hole is going to get deeper.

[LoneStarHorse]

My horse that I bet can't read the tote board, so what do the odds matter to him or me ? Your comments made no sense to me at all

Let's see where I'm at next week at this time..

Originally Posted by knickslions2

You don't look at odds when you bet? I'm afraid that hole is going to get deeper.

[LoneStarHorse]

Race 6: 1-2-5-3

My pick ran 2nd $4.60

The 2 was no worse than second at any call. 1 made a nice winning move

:24- :48.1 1:12.3 1:38.3 1:45.1

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

My horse that I bet can't read the tote board, so what do the odds matter to him or me ? Your comments made no sense to me at all

Let's see where I'm at next week at this time..

An example is the 4th race. Would you really bet 200 to winon a 3-5 favorite. There is no value in a bet like that. High risk low reward. Sometimes the best bet is when you sit out a race. I'm no expert but the people who do well watch the tote and make bets based upon return on investment. Good luck rest of the way. Would like to see a good comeback

[RHT2004]

Is this worst then anything I did in my younger days?

[jms62]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

Will be interesting to watch and hopefully I will learn something from you cause I can't for the life of me figure a scenario where winning at an 11% Clip and betting 3/5 shots is going to get you out of a 14 K hole in a week...Always looking to learn. Good Luck.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

This is from your other post

9- Rail Bias: Is the rail "golden"?

You'll know after the third race. When the inner rail is on, the top riders will do most anything to get there.

Check to see if they're avoiding it and make adjustments in your plays. Be aware of the track condition.

After a thaw, water that was frozen deep down can rise to the top of the track on a sunny day and change track conditions in short order.

Planning ahead is fine but the winter Aqueduct player has to be prepared to make adjustments on a race-by-race basis.

So odds questions aside,
Despite your advice to everyone else, how could you honestly take advantage or make alterations to any potential biases, if all your bets are in by 8am?

[LoneStarHorse]

I posted that for anyone who chose to read. Where did I say what I posted is my advice to anyone??

I do my handicapping a day in advance, for 23 years I've been placing my bets by 8AM... What I've see today, I'll adjust into my handicapping for tomorrow..

Originally Posted by MaTH716

This is from your other post

So odds questions aside,
Despite your advice to everyone else, how could you honestly take advantage or make alterations to any potential biases, if all your bets are in by 8am?

[LoneStarHorse]

Race 7: 7-6-9

My pick ran out

The 6 was no worse than 2nd entire race

23- :46.1 :58.3 1:11.3

[LoneStarHorse]

I have to say something, today there seemed to be quite a few "birds" chirping in here about my style of betting...
It's very easy to sit on the sidelines with your comments. Why don't you post your daily,plays ??
As I stated from my very first day here, it's hit or miss...lately it's been more miss...

I was bought up with these skill sets, if you don't have something nice to say don't say it....

I'll leave it at that...


I will continue posting my daily picks, no one has to reply. Not doing it to impress anyone...

That's it, for anyone who is really betting I wish you well...

Those arm chair QBs move on from me

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse

I posted that for anyone who chose to read. Where did I say what I posted is my advice to anyone??

I do my handicapping a day in advance, for 23 years I've been placing my bets by 8AM... What I've see today, I'll adjust into my handicapping for tomorrow..

But thats my point, sometimes the track changes from race to race let alone from day to day. You are at a HUGE disadvantage by putting bets in at 8am and we're not even talking about possible scratches that affect the way a race might be ran.

[LoneStarHorse]

From what I've seen today, you have to be no worse than 3rd... I will take that into advisement as I handicap now for Thursday..
Am I at a disadvantage possibly, but I've been doing this now for 23 years. Hard to teach an "old dog" new tricks

I do thank you for your comments

Originally Posted by MaTH716

But thats my point, sometimes the track changes from race to race let alone from day to day. You are at a HUGE disadvantage by putting bets in at 8am and we're not even talking about possible scratches that affect the way a race might be ran.

[Lt1]

Lonestar I understand why you need to bet by 8am but why not make them conditional
wagers based on the price you wish to accept. No one ever lost money passing a race.

[odbaxter]

LoneStar, I have to say that I have been on this board for several years and have never seen the guys (and gals) be so supportive and patient. I feel like i'm in the Twilight Zone.

I wish you good luck going forward, but have to say, I can't see this turning around without a change of strategy. I hope you prove me wrong and I can learn something too.
Betting into tracks with larger fields may help?