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-   -   Weds 12/9: AQU Inner Track Opening Day (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=58952)

LoneStarHorse 12-08-2015 08:07 PM

Weds 12/9: AQU Inner Track Opening Day
 
A new meet hopefully a turn around for the past few weeks disasterous handicapping.

My stats are:
- $14,379.80
233-27-42-31

LoneStarHorse 12-08-2015 08:40 PM

Race 1: 2-Comfort Level $60W$40P
Claimed for 35K dropping to 14K. DiPrima is 2/6 with this move + $2.37
Going turf to dirt


Race 2: 4-First Showing $60W$40P
Had trouble at the start in maiden voyage, bullet work 11/28
CC can get them out of the gate


Race 3: 6-Triple Play $100WP
Adds blinkers,Franco been riding well last 7 days. 25-7-2-3


Race 4: 6-Wynhurst $200WIN
Has the highest speed figure at 6F


Race 5: 6-Uno Emayo $60W$40P
Interesting race, loads on speed on paper. My pick is Rudy's "other" horse. He has the ML 4/5 horse (3) which is first time starting for him.
You'll see him coming late

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 06:10 AM

Race 6: 2-Powered Crazed $60W$40P
First time in Rudy Rods barn, he's 28% off the claim. Blinkers go on


Race 7: 3-Pegasus Red $60W$40P
One of his best races was 3/15/15 over this track which was a win. 93 speed rating


Race 8: 1-Majestic Bloom $100WP
Has only one race on dirt, which was a win..all be it on a wet track. Should get right to the front


Race 9: 4-Rich Dalone $100WP
His race 2/8/15 over this surface was very good. Today is third race off layoff
7/10 ITM with 4-2nds

netbet 12-09-2015 11:05 AM

Have a great Inner track opening day.
My two plays would be -

1st- Lady Liana
6th- Power Crazed

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 11:27 AM

Race 1: 2-4-6

My pick won paying $7.60 $4.00

I should quit, undefeated on the inner :o

Race was only between 2 & 4 ..5 threw the jock right out of the gate

Here are the fractions 24.2 48.2 1:13.2 1:39.4 1:44.1

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 11:56 AM

Race 2: 3-2-1

My pick ran out..

Fractions: 24.1 :50- 1:16.3 1:43.2 1:47.3

2 set the "pace" held for 2nd, 6 rank loading into gate made nice move flattened out.. My pick 4 just ran one paced worked hard to get 4th

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 12:31 PM

Race 3: 5-3-6

My pick ran 3rd, hung like a Walmart Suit..

Three races every race the horse cutting the fractions ended up 2nd

Fractions: 22.4 :46.1 :59- 1:12.2

3-1-0-1
$7.60 winner price

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 12:54 PM

Race 4: 7-6-5

My pick ran 2nd at 3/5

Once again speed ran 1/2 a trend is beginning


23.1 :46.1 :58.2 1:11.2

jms62 12-09-2015 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse (Post 1049882)
Race 4: 7-6-5

My pick ran 2nd at 3/5

Once again speed ran 1/2 a trend is beginning


23.1 :46.1 :58.2 1:11.2

Hopefully you aren't betting $200 Win on a 3/5 shot trying to dig out of a 14K hole.

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 01:26 PM

Race 5: 3-2-5-6

My pick ran 4th, the other Rudy horse won at odds on

5th straight race, the winner hasn't been worse than 2nd at any call

:22.4 :46.1 :58.4 1:12-

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 01:29 PM

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned



Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1049883)
Hopefully you aren't betting $200 Win on a 3/5 shot trying to dig out of a 14K hole.


knickslions2 12-09-2015 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse (Post 1049885)
jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

You don't look at odds when you bet? I'm afraid that hole is going to get deeper.

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 01:57 PM

My horse that I bet can't read the tote board, so what do the odds matter to him or me ? Your comments made no sense to me at all

Let's see where I'm at next week at this time..



Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1049886)
You don't look at odds when you bet? I'm afraid that hole is going to get deeper.


jms62 12-09-2015 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse (Post 1049885)
jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

:cool: Will be interesting to watch and hopefully I will learn something from you cause I can't for the life of me figure a scenario where winning at an 11% Clip and betting 3/5 shots is going to get you out of a 14 K hole in a week...Always looking to learn. Good Luck.

LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 01:59 PM

Race 6: 1-2-5-3

My pick ran 2nd $4.60

The 2 was no worse than second at any call. 1 made a nice winning move

:24- :48.1 1:12.3 1:38.3 1:45.1

MaTH716 12-09-2015 02:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse (Post 1049885)
jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

This is from your other post
Quote:

9- Rail Bias: Is the rail "golden"?

You'll know after the third race. When the inner rail is on, the top riders will do most anything to get there.

Check to see if they're avoiding it and make adjustments in your plays. Be aware of the track condition.

After a thaw, water that was frozen deep down can rise to the top of the track on a sunny day and change track conditions in short order.

Planning ahead is fine but the winter Aqueduct player has to be prepared to make adjustments on a race-by-race basis.
So odds questions aside,
Despite your advice to everyone else, how could you honestly take advantage or make alterations to any potential biases, if all your bets are in by 8am?

knickslions2 12-09-2015 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarHorse (Post 1049887)
My horse that I bet can't read the tote board, so what do the odds matter to him or me ? Your comments made no sense to me at all

Let's see where I'm at next week at this time..

An example is the 4th race. Would you really bet 200 to winon a 3-5 favorite. There is no value in a bet like that. High risk low reward. Sometimes the best bet is when you sit out a race. I'm no expert but the people who do well watch the tote and make bets based upon return on investment. Good luck rest of the way. Would like to see a good comeback

RHT2004 12-09-2015 02:25 PM

Is this worst then anything I did in my younger days?

MaTH716 12-09-2015 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1049893)
Is this worst then anything I did in my younger days?


LoneStarHorse 12-09-2015 02:28 PM

I posted that for anyone who chose to read. Where did I say what I posted is my advice to anyone??

I do my handicapping a day in advance, for 23 years I've been placing my bets by 8AM... What I've see today, I'll adjust into my handicapping for tomorrow..



Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1049891)
This is from your other post

So odds questions aside,
Despite your advice to everyone else, how could you honestly take advantage or make alterations to any potential biases, if all your bets are in by 8am?



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