Derby Favorite

[pucknut]

Originally Posted by senator L

I think the favorite will be well under 5-1. More like 2-1.
The (2) biggest fav's will be American Pharaoh and Dortmund
depending on their last race of course. Horses between 4-1 and 9-1
will be Upstart, Materiality and Mubtaahi the rest will be dbl digits imo

hope you are right.
carpe diem on double digits= get some

[alysheba4]

would be SHOCKED if C.D. is more than 6-1.

[Indian Charlie]

I'm kind of surprised everyone thinks the favorite is going to be like 5/1.

It's very possible, especially if Pharoah takes to the track, that he goes off 2/1 or lower.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

I'm kind of surprised everyone thinks the favorite is going to be like 5/1.

It's very possible, especially if Pharoah takes to the track, that he goes off 2/1 or lower.

5/1 seems a bit long but if AP wins easy this weekend as expected it would be like

3/1 on Dortmund
4/1 on AP
8/1 on Carpe Diem and then double digits and rising fast on everyone else.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

5/1 seems a bit long but if AP wins easy this weekend as expected it would be like

3/1 on Dortmund
4/1 on AP
8/1 on Carpe Diem and then double digits and rising fast on everyone else.

If AP runs as expected this weekend, it's hard to see Dortmund being favored over him.

I don't even know how CD is playable.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

If AP runs as expected this weekend, it's hard to see Dortmund being favored over him.

I don't even know how CD is playable.

I would imagine an unbeaten, 17 hand tall giant of a horse who is likely to get a ton of pre race hype, who crushed in california, is likely to get a bit more play...well see I guess.

[pucknut]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

If AP runs as expected this weekend, it's hard to see Dortmund being favored over him.

I don't even know how CD is playable.

Wow! thats a bold statement given CD'S resume
I hope more of the Pharoh worshippers and the soccer moms share that view
6-1 or higher ill take it all day long

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by pucknut

Wow! thats a bold statement given CD'S resume
I hope more of the Pharoh worshippers and the soccer moms share that view
6-1 or higher ill take it all day long

Playable for the win that is.

I think there are several horses that look better than CD.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by alysheba4

would be SHOCKED if C.D. is more than 6-1.

I think he will be at best 6-1. I can see him at 10-1 or higher easily especially when AP romps this weekend