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  #1  
Old 01-02-2015, 05:06 PM
senator L senator L is offline
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Not into these awards that much as it really only matters
to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.
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  #2  
Old 01-02-2015, 05:54 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?
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  #3  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:14 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?
Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm
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  #4  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:18 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm
I give it to a lot of trainers before Todd. Numbers don't do it for me given his numbers going in.

If you look at the season as a whole, it's not pretty.
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Old 01-02-2015, 06:29 PM
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I give it to a lot of trainers before Todd. Numbers don't do it for me given his numbers going in.

If you look at the season as a whole, it's not pretty.
Believe me, I get it. I've taken that tack in each of the years I've voted. I thought he had a 'down' year going in to the results but was actually surprised his cumulatives were as good as they were.

Here's the GSW's..

2014 Metropolitan Handicap (Gr. 1) Palace Malice
2014 Arkansas Derby (Gr. 1) Danza
2014 Besilu Florida Derby (Gr. 1) Constitution
2014 Alabama Stakes (Gr. 1) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Champagne Stakes (Gr. 1) Daredevil
2014 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (Gr. 1) Carpe Diem
2014 Hopeful Stakes (Gr. 1) Competitive Edge
2014 Chandelier Stakes (Gr. 1) Angela Renee
2014 TVG Coaching Club American Oaks (Gr. 1) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (Gr. 2) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2) Intense Holiday
2014 New Orleans Handicap (Gr. 2) Palace Malice
2014 Gulfstream Oaks (Gr. 2) In Tune
2014 Gazelle Stakes (Gr. 2) My Miss Sophia
2014 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes (Gr. 2) Unitarian
2014 Nashua Stakes (Gr. 2) Blofeld
2014 Hawthorne Gold Cup Handicap (Gr. 2) Red Rifle
2014 Gulfstream Park Handicap (Gr. 2) Palace Malice
2014 Molly Pitcher Stakes (Gr. 2) Majestic River
2014 Top Flight Handicap (Gr. 2) Teen Pauline
2014 Futurity Stakes (Gr. 2) Blofeld
2014 Davona Dale Stakes (Gr. 2) Onlyforyou
2014 Forward Gal Stakes (Gr. 2) Onlyforyou
2014 Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral Stakes (Gr. 3) We Miss Artie
2014 Poker Stakes (Gr. 3) Jack Milton
2014 Smarty Jones Stakes (Gr. 3) Protonico
2014 Pimlico Special Stakes (Gr. 3) Revolutionary
2014 Schuylerville Stakes (Gr. 3) Fashion Alert
2014 Sam F. Davis Stakes (Gr. 3) Vinceremos
2014 American Derby (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Turnback the Alarm Handicap (Gr. 3) Dame Dorothy
2014 Razorback Handicap (Gr. 3) Golden Lad
2014 Discovery Handicap (Gr. 3) Protonico
2014 Kent Stakes (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Palm Beach Stakes (Gr. 3) Gala Award
2014 Westchester Stakes (Gr. 3) Palace Malice
2014 Cliff Hanger Stakes (Gr. 3) Winning Cause
2014 W. L. McKnight Handicap (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Old Hat Stakes (Gr. 3) Sweet Whiskey
2014 Skip Away Stakes (Gr. 3) Micromanage
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  #6  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:34 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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The number of horses who never won again after the listed race is positively scary.
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  #7  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:42 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Thanks for putting your list out there. Only one I really have issues with is Lady Eli over TCB.
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  #8  
Old 01-02-2015, 07:56 PM
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Arletta Arletta is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
The number of horses who never won again after the listed race is positively scary.
At least he is able to get them their ever elusive Graded win for their breeding resumes.
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  #9  
Old 01-02-2015, 09:22 PM
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Thoroughbred Fan Thoroughbred Fan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm
Maybe Baffert? Same number of G1 Wins with less than half the starters. Bob gets good horses, but not nearly like Todd.

Crazy part with Todd is he gets twice as many horses as it looks like. He cuts the roster 25% before they leave the 2yo training facility and another 25% after their first start. He is dealing from a stacked deck with respect to these year end stats.

Tough for you as a voter.
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  #10  
Old 01-03-2015, 09:20 AM
saratogadew saratogadew is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?
This is an age old argument that never really has a correct answer. For coach of the year in the 4 major sports. Do you give it to the guy with the most talented team that wins the championship? Or do you give it to the coach that has far less talent but has a good season? Voting for a Bill Belichick type is not a sexy vote, but is sometimes correct.
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  #11  
Old 01-04-2015, 10:36 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Does anyone know how many 2&3 year olds TAP gets a year? I would assume 200+ combined? Would any of them not be considered 75k+ specimen's in advance of the start of their pending career? Would be OK with me if they split award for trainers with 100 or more being one category and 100 or less another.
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  #12  
Old 01-04-2015, 10:45 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Personally I think a trainers success isn't just winning A race and then the horse goes into hibernation or abyss. Plus why not give credit to trainers who's stock stays at levels(Brown) and improves(Motion) vs. just winning a big race and never circling back or healthy enough to return to winning form. If the answer is its not "Their Program" then I wish to change the channel to more intelligent and healthy programming. That said TAP is a HoF trainer who enjoys immense success and one of the very best at what he does. Trainer of Year...Not for me especially this year
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  #13  
Old 01-04-2015, 11:45 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Pretty easy to win the 100 yard dash when one starts on the 75 yard line. He should win the eclipse for best businessman.
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Last edited by Danzig : 01-05-2015 at 09:04 PM.
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  #14  
Old 01-05-2015, 10:35 AM
Holybull1 Holybull1 is offline
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Steve, thanks for posting. I've heard you sing the praises of Lady Eli on your show many times. With all due respect, how can you think her body of work is better than Take Charge Brandi's? If the voting was immediately after the BC a solid case could be made for Lady Eli. But adding another G1 and a $1 million G3 makes this a slam dunk case for TCB.

I totally understand your logic for Lady Eli. She was visually impressive and you believe she's the best 2yo filly. But her on-track results do not stack up to TCB and it's really not close.

To put it another way, Dortmund is widely regarded as the best 2yo cold in the country. But what he's done on the track should not earn him the Eclipse. Obviously that's an extreme analogy, but it clarifies my point.

I really do not want to start an argument, just a discussion. Thanks again.
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  #15  
Old 01-05-2015, 03:41 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Personally I think a trainers success isn't just winning A race and then the horse goes into hibernation or abyss. Plus why not give credit to trainers who's stock stays at levels(Brown) and improves(Motion) vs. just winning a big race and never circling back or healthy enough to return to winning form. If the answer is its not "Their Program" then I wish to change the channel to more intelligent and healthy programming. That said TAP is a HoF trainer who enjoys immense success and one of the very best at what he does. Trainer of Year...Not for me especially this year
Todd is not in the Hall of Fame.
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  #16  
Old 01-06-2015, 09:24 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Todd is not in the Hall of Fame.
I realize he has not been elected but nonetheless he will certainly be inducted.
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  #17  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:07 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by senator L View Post
Not into these awards that much as it really only matters to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.
The 3yo/HOY aspect is very difficult. I had made the CalChrome as 3yo/Bayern as HOY case extensively too, but couldn't split the baby when it came down to it. Bayern did far more than just win the year-end championship race. He had a fully realized and complete season. Winning at 7f/9f/10f is a major accomplishment and he traveled extensively to do it. California Chrome had the purest "3yo Classic" season, but the 2nd half of year fell just short enough to leave the door open in my mind. And then there's Shared Belief.

A rather unique and remarkable season for the sophs all the way around as it turned out.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #18  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:19 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by senator L View Post
Not into these awards that much as it really only matters
to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.
I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.
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  #19  
Old 01-02-2015, 06:25 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by senator L View Post
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion. Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan? Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.
Bob..

Didn't address the turf question, but Nick's is right: it's not close. Wise Dan coming back after the colic was a great story, but Main Sequence sweeping nearly all the traditional American turf route tests bears scrutiny. He's a deceptive horse in that his style and margins of victory fueled his critics as he built his resume, but the results are inarguable.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #20  
Old 01-03-2015, 01:35 AM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.
What about a sentimental case?
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