Roger Stein on Beyer on Zenyatta

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

Lots of people predicted the exact scenario that somewhat played out, that she would have to be used early and would not be able to make a run late because of this........I guess they believe they were proven right by the result.

If they made a profit on the race - I doubt they'll feel like the result proved them wrong.

Either way - she was a VERY poor even money shot who happened to run fine.

You have to bet against even money shots who are wildcards. The bookies in Europe almost got smoked at 7/2 on her .. but I'm not so sure 7/2 is even a fair price on a wildcard.

If you go by results - even the very best handicappers and bettors are going to be proven wrong A LOT. They're flesh and blood animals with a human on their back. If a horse improves one second over the distance of a mile - that's six lengths. Most races are so closely matched that the way they're run will ultimately determine who wins.