Best BC Classic future prices from several racebooks

[Dunbar]

Here are the best odds I could find from the 4 racebooks I checked:

Bernardini 2.2 Gameday
Lava Man 7.05 Greek
Invasor 7.05 Greek
Shirocco 11.74 Pinny
David Junior 16.39 Pinny
Sun King 20 Gameday
Lawyer Ron 30.5 Greek
Dylan Thomas 17.7 Pinny
Perfect Drift 50 Gameday
Giacomo 50 Pinny
Suave 50.5 Greek
Second Of June 30.5 Greek
Point Determined 60.5 Greek
Brother Derek 43.41 Pinny
Super Frolic 50.5 Greek
Strong Contender 26.33 Pinny
Bright One 35.73 Pinny
Flower Alley 50 Gameday, Pinny
Jazil 32.5 Greek
Bright One 25 Gameday
Seek Gold 40 Gameday
Cindago 40 Gameday

There are probably some gems in there, because taken together the odds make a line with 15% takeout. That's comparable to raceday. Of course, there are almost certainly some horses that will start in the Classic but are not on that list (and many on the list will not start in the Classic). But unless you think a horse not on the list will have a significant chance to win, the 15% takeout means that betting the futures has comparable "overhead" to betting on raceday.

If you think the winner will very likely be one of the "Big 3", then betting all 3 should have value. If the actual (combined) chance of the winner coming from one of those 3 is greater than 56%, you'd have a good bet.

--Dunbar