11/28: Churchill (Full); Aqueduct (6-10); Hollywood (Stakes)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Arnold entry 5-2 WON/6th
Best Value: #8 Hurricanette 4-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Maestro Miss 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Snuggs and Kisses 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-5) Paid $12.10
$1 Trifecta (1-5-2) Paid $49.90


2nd: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Jonmil's Edge 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Donna Getyourgun 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Im a Classy Cat 9-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Rapid Racer 8-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Oscar de La Thorn 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Katy Now 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Pick and Pray 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Quick Breeze 6-1 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Awfully tough way to end and start P4's with field made up of mostly firsters.. #16 Bell's Shoes stands out but isn't likely to get in..

Best Value: #11 Luyu 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #1 Wildabout 4-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Bialy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Cinco Emayo 5-1 WON

$1 Exacta (10-4) Paid $14.90
$1 Trifecta (10-4-11) Paid $98.60


<$75 P4 Play:

1: 1-5-8
2: 2-5-8
3: 1-2-6-8
4: 1-4-10-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


5th: ALW/N1X, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Great Attack 3-1 WON`
Best Value: #6 Successful Score 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flatter Than Me 2-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wildcat Nation 6-1 6th


6th: Grand Canyon H., 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific race and you'd think this is due to be back as a Gr. III next year..

Most Likely: #1 Lost Aptitude 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Our Douglas 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cat Park 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Roman's Reward 8-1 9th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 First Dude 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Hurricane Hal 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Tiz a Theme 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Ink 10-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-11
5: 1-2-3-6-9-10
6: 1-2-4-7-9-10
7: 2-3

2x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Harken Up 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Maximus Ruler 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Guys Reward 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Holiday Buzz 4-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-3) Paid $25.60
$1 Trifecta (2-3-1) Paid $83.60
$1 Superfecta (2-3-1-5) Paid $215.20


9th: 66th Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Upperline 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 All Due Respect 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Sassy Image 2-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Decelerator 4-1 2nd


10th: Caressing H., 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Check the Label 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Orchestrator 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 Lisa's Kitten 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Sheer Beauty 10-1 WON


11th: 83rd Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Super Saver 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Worldly 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Thiskyhasnolimit 2-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Callide Valley 10-1 6th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Lonesome Street 3-1 5th
Next Best: #13 Bascom Hall 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Big Shake 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Outlaw Man 8-1 4th
High 5 Play: #9 Lunar Tide 15-1 12th


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-3
10: 1-5-9-10
11: 2-7
12: 3-5-8-9-11-13

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 88th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Protesting 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tizahit 4-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Fuzzy Britches 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $14.40
$1 Trifecta (4-5-2) Paid $45.75


7th: 96th Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Buddy's Saint 4-5 WON
Next Best: #5 Homeboykris 7-5 5th
Best Value: #2 Peppi Knows 20-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-2) Paid $21.30


8th: 114th Gazelle (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Unrivaled Belle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Milwaukee Appeal 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flashing 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Me Love 30-1 5th


9th: 21st Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Bribon 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Kodiak Kowboy 2-1 WON

$1 Exacta (3-4) Paid $11.30
$1 Trifecta (3-4-1) Paid $22.10


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Fortissi More 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Quiet On the Tee 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Structural Change 3-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5
8: 1-2-3-4-7-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 2-7

2x6x3x2 = $72

$1 P4 (4-2-3-2) Paid $195.90



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: 27th Generous (G3), 2yo, 1m-T

Most Likely: #1 Bridgetown 6-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Who's Up 5-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Alfarabi 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Summer Movie 10-1 8th


8th: 28th Matriarch (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #4 Ventura 7-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Diamondrella 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Rutherienne 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 April Pride 12-1


Good luck!
Steve