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-   -   11/28: Churchill (Full); Aqueduct (6-10); Hollywood (Stakes) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32997)

Kasept 11-28-2009 07:28 AM

11/28: Churchill (Full); Aqueduct (6-10); Hollywood (Stakes)
 
CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Arnold entry 5-2 WON/6th
Best Value: #8 Hurricanette 4-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Maestro Miss 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Snuggs and Kisses 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-5) Paid $12.10
$1 Trifecta (1-5-2) Paid $49.90



2nd: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Jonmil's Edge 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Donna Getyourgun 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Im a Classy Cat 9-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Rapid Racer 8-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Oscar de La Thorn 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Katy Now 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Pick and Pray 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Quick Breeze 6-1 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Awfully tough way to end and start P4's with field made up of mostly firsters.. #16 Bell's Shoes stands out but isn't likely to get in..

Best Value: #11 Luyu 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #1 Wildabout 4-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Bialy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Cinco Emayo 5-1 WON

$1 Exacta (10-4) Paid $14.90
$1 Trifecta (10-4-11) Paid $98.60



<$75 P4 Play:

1: 1-5-8
2: 2-5-8
3: 1-2-6-8
4: 1-4-10-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


5th: ALW/N1X, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Great Attack 3-1 WON`
Best Value: #6 Successful Score 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flatter Than Me 2-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wildcat Nation 6-1 6th


6th: Grand Canyon H., 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific race and you'd think this is due to be back as a Gr. III next year..

Most Likely: #1 Lost Aptitude 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Our Douglas 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cat Park 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Roman's Reward 8-1 9th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 First Dude 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Hurricane Hal 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Tiz a Theme 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Ink 10-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-11
5: 1-2-3-6-9-10
6: 1-2-4-7-9-10
7: 2-3

2x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Harken Up 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Maximus Ruler 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Guys Reward 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Holiday Buzz 4-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-3) Paid $25.60
$1 Trifecta (2-3-1) Paid $83.60
$1 Superfecta (2-3-1-5) Paid $215.20



9th: 66th Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Upperline 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 All Due Respect 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Sassy Image 2-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Decelerator 4-1 2nd


10th: Caressing H., 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Check the Label 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Orchestrator 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 Lisa's Kitten 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Sheer Beauty 10-1 WON


11th: 83rd Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Super Saver 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Worldly 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Thiskyhasnolimit 2-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Callide Valley 10-1 6th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Lonesome Street 3-1 5th
Next Best: #13 Bascom Hall 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Big Shake 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Outlaw Man 8-1 4th
High 5 Play: #9 Lunar Tide 15-1 12th


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-3
10: 1-5-9-10
11: 2-7
12: 3-5-8-9-11-13

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 88th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Protesting 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tizahit 4-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Fuzzy Britches 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $14.40
$1 Trifecta (4-5-2) Paid $45.75



7th: 96th Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Buddy's Saint 4-5 WON
Next Best: #5 Homeboykris 7-5 5th
Best Value: #2 Peppi Knows 20-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-2) Paid $21.30


8th: 114th Gazelle (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Unrivaled Belle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Milwaukee Appeal 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Flashing 4-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Me Love 30-1 5th


9th: 21st Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Bribon 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Kodiak Kowboy 2-1 WON

$1 Exacta (3-4) Paid $11.30
$1 Trifecta (3-4-1) Paid $22.10



10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Fortissi More 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Quiet On the Tee 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Structural Change 3-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5
8: 1-2-3-4-7-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 2-7

2x6x3x2 = $72

$1 P4 (4-2-3-2) Paid $195.90



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: 27th Generous (G3), 2yo, 1m-T

Most Likely: #1 Bridgetown 6-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Who's Up 5-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Alfarabi 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Summer Movie 10-1 8th


8th: 28th Matriarch (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #4 Ventura 7-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Diamondrella 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Rutherienne 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 April Pride 12-1


Good luck!
Steve

hoovesupsideyourhead 11-28-2009 08:37 AM

manditory payouts in the pick 6 and high 5 at church?

dellinger63 11-28-2009 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
manditory payouts in the pick 6 and high 5 at church?

knowing CDI they'll carry it over in a nice savings account for the less than 1% interest and then brag about the huge opening day c/o's they're providing.

Kasept 11-28-2009 10:46 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

Race 10

#6 J L Bernstein,
#10 Mighty Morris,
#11 Whirlwind Poppy,
#12 Chernobyl's Hero,
#1A Summer Share,
#13 Cat Three Approach,
#14 Gamblin Fever,
#15 Star of New York

Kasept 11-28-2009 10:48 AM

CD SCR'S

Race 3 #5 Thewifedoesntknow

Race 4 #13 Dreamspace, #14 Miss Rebound, #15 Nineotwosixfive, #16 Bell's Shoes

Race 7 #13 Ricky Tick, #14 Colizeo, #15 Stay Put

Race 9 #7 Quiet Temper

Race 12 #10 Lentenor, #14 Coffee Break, #15 Dual Forecast, #16 Graysonia

Kasept 11-28-2009 01:30 PM

Whatever had been ailing Edgar Prado seems to be evaporating. Nice work in the Demoiselle and great returns in the short field...

3kings 11-28-2009 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Whatever had been ailing Edgar Prado seems to be evaporating. Nice work in the Demoiselle and great returns in the short field...

Agreed. He even herded the 2nd place horse at the end. I'm sorry, I meant to say he kept the horse from drifting out too badly at the end.

Kasept 11-28-2009 02:20 PM

It's old timers day at the Big A! LOL.. The Mig with masterful front-end theivery. And he's not without a real chance in the co-feature coming up either...

Coach Pants 11-28-2009 03:36 PM

Super Saver looks prettay prettay good.

Kasept 11-28-2009 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Super Saver looks prettay prettay good.

Yeah, eh?

But how about Mark Johnson? What race was he watching there?

"Super Saver is coming back to them now"?

"Super Saver is coming under a ride"


Wha...? Huh...?

Coach Pants 11-28-2009 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Yeah, eh?

But how about Mark Johnson? What race was he watching there?

"Super Saver is coming back to them now"?

"Super Saver is coming under a ride"

Wha...?

I had it on mute.

It's comparable to having Larry the Cable Guy as the announcer at Epsom.

jms62 11-28-2009 03:55 PM

Steve, Good luck in the Nightcap. Bring that P4 Home

Arletta 11-28-2009 04:06 PM

What a finish!!!

DBURGH 11-28-2009 04:13 PM

Thanks for the great pics Steve.

Kasept 11-28-2009 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DBURGH
Thanks for the great pics Steve.

You're quite welcome. Hope you did well. It was an OK day that feels like it came in 'under' where it might have... Outlaw Man not finishing well cost $469 in that Churchill P4, but he would have come down anyway I guess unless he could have avoided the tapdancing. Things went very well at Aqueduct. Good day of racing!


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