5/31: BEL (P4); HOL ($125k C/O)

[Kasept]

Took wince-inducing losses in anchor legs of both P4's Saturday after negotiating largely-logical opening troikas. Tagg nightcap winner at Belmont was an especially dumb omission given trainer angles that deserved attention. Churchill 11th runaway was OK as a contender on paper, and Borel miraculously continues to move horses up as a matter of course. The miscues were costly too, as Churchill's .50 quad brought back $484.40 in a sequence where the $2 parlay equaled $845, or about the P4. New York's parlay was $337 and the 4 returned $591 ($2). Hope you did OK despite my inability to close out the skiens.

All grass P4 at Belmont today and a $125,000 carryover at Hollywood to consider...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 4th NY Stallion-Spectacular Bid, NYB-3yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Uncle T Seven 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1e C. Martin entry 12-1 10th/11th
Next Best: #5 Tall Poppi 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Early Response 7-2 5th


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #5 Southern Splendor 6-1 3rd
Most Consider: #10 Winloc's Big D 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mr. Petersson 6-1 4th


8th: 3rd New York Stallion-Cupecoy's Joy, NYB-3yo F, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wild Awake 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Seek On 6-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Mother Russia 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Hanna Can Fly 15-1 6th


9th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dancing Forever 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Baletti 10-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Prince Rahy 10-1 5th


10th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #8 Cagey Girl 5-1
Best Value: #11 Higher Incentive 20-1
Next Best: #9 Catty Madeline 4-1
Super Add: #2b SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-10
8: 2-5-8-11
9: 1-7
10: 8-9-11

3x4x2x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Necessary Evil 7-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Laura's Pleasure 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Magic Yodeler 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Ghost Shadow 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Mi Sueno 4-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Woodland Flood 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nima's Pad 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Cavanal 5-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Mr. Big 5-1 6th


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Mort Robbins 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Itlee 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Job Boss 7-2 WON
Super Add: #11 SCR


7th: 58th Honeymoon (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Well Monied 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Century Park 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Acting Lady 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Pride Dancer 9-2 9th


8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Unionize 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Margarita Shot 6-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Hidden Blessing 7-2 7th
Super Add: #1e Zayat entry 5-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #13 No Grande 9-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Stormy Game 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Senor Afortunado 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Bob Benoit 10-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #12 Treadwell 8-1 6th

$1 Exacta (13-5) Paid $39.90
$1 Trifecta (13-5-9) Paid $230.00
$1 Superfecta (13-5-9-6) Paid $1,221.10


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 3-5-8
5: 3-8
6: 5-6
7: 1-9
8: 2-5
9: 5-6-13

3x2x2x2x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$100 P4 Play:

6: 5-6-12
7: 1-3-7-8-9
8: 2-5
9: 5-6-13

3x5x2x3 = $90

$1 Pick 4 (1/3/8/11/12-9-5-13) 4 Correct Paid $434.00


Good luck!
Steve