5/31: BEL (P4); HOL ($125k C/O)
 

Took wince-inducing losses in anchor legs of both P4's Saturday after negotiating largely-logical opening troikas. Tagg nightcap winner at Belmont was an especially dumb omission given trainer angles that deserved attention. Churchill 11th runaway was OK as a contender on paper, and Borel miraculously continues to move horses up as a matter of course. The miscues were costly too, as Churchill's .50 quad brought back $484.40 in a sequence where the $2 parlay equaled $845, or about the P4. New York's parlay was $337 and the 4 returned $591 ($2). Hope you did OK despite my inability to close out the skiens.

All grass P4 at Belmont today and a $125,000 carryover at Hollywood to consider...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 4th NY Stallion-Spectacular Bid, NYB-3yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Uncle T Seven 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1e C. Martin entry 12-1 10th/11th
Next Best: #5 Tall Poppi 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Early Response 7-2 5th


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #5 Southern Splendor 6-1 3rd
Most Consider: #10 Winloc's Big D 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mr. Petersson 6-1 4th


8th: 3rd New York Stallion-Cupecoy's Joy, NYB-3yo F, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wild Awake 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Seek On 6-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Mother Russia 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Hanna Can Fly 15-1 6th


9th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dancing Forever 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Baletti 10-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Prince Rahy 10-1 5th


10th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #8 Cagey Girl 5-1
Best Value: #11 Higher Incentive 20-1
Next Best: #9 Catty Madeline 4-1
Super Add: #2b SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-10
8: 2-5-8-11
9: 1-7
10: 8-9-11

3x4x2x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Necessary Evil 7-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Laura's Pleasure 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Magic Yodeler 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Ghost Shadow 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Mi Sueno 4-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Woodland Flood 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nima's Pad 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Cavanal 5-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Mr. Big 5-1 6th


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Mort Robbins 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Itlee 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Job Boss 7-2 WON
Super Add: #11 SCR


7th: 58th Honeymoon (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Well Monied 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Century Park 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Acting Lady 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Pride Dancer 9-2 9th


8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Unionize 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Margarita Shot 6-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Hidden Blessing 7-2 7th
Super Add: #1e Zayat entry 5-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #13 No Grande 9-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Stormy Game 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Senor Afortunado 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Bob Benoit 10-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #12 Treadwell 8-1 6th

$1 Exacta (13-5) Paid $39.90
$1 Trifecta (13-5-9) Paid $230.00
$1 Superfecta (13-5-9-6) Paid $1,221.10


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 3-5-8
5: 3-8
6: 5-6
7: 1-9
8: 2-5
9: 5-6-13

3x2x2x2x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$100 P4 Play:

6: 5-6-12
7: 1-3-7-8-9
8: 2-5
9: 5-6-13

3x5x2x3 = $90

$1 Pick 4 (1/3/8/11/12-9-5-13) 4 Correct Paid $434.00


Good luck!
Steve

Steve,

Check you number on Hanna Can Fly I think she is the #8 rather than the #6.

That was a tough beat, I was covered to all but the 8 & 9 in the finale in either a Pick 3 or Pick 4. Oh well, today is another day - Go getem!

HH

There is no way we can bust your balls over yesterday.......you are allowed to miss a couple Pk4s every month:D Thanks again for all your hard work.

BELMONT SCR'S

6

2B Four Star General Early


7

2 Federal Deposit Early
8 Ten Carrot Nikki Early


8

9 Phone Jazz Early


10

1A Salt Water Reign Early
2B Sweet Madness Early
13 Hailey Keen Early
14 Summer Palace Early

I know you keep cost at certain minimums but hope you get a scratch to allow inclusion of #9 Bob's...in the 9th at Holly a very likely bomb today to close out the sequence. Moving forward off the turn back at a distance at a distance he has won at after a race against winners......yum!!

Fourth choice for me... Would be nice to get him on the tix, as much for who the horse was named for as anything else. Bob Benoit was a famed and beloved West Coast track exec and publicity man that passed away last year.

Belmont late pk4

7- 4,5
8- 5,11
9- 2,6,7
10- 1,2,7,8,9,12

Good Luck!

difficult sequence at hollywood due to big fields. I dont see any major bombs but alot of mid-priced horses. This thing is gonna pay if you can hit it.

Penna = :$:

:)

LAst Hollywood


9Key/5.6/11/13

Exacta tri super quad

win bet on 9 $200

Steve,

Congrats on the P4 hit at Hwood.

Steve, great work once again today, saved my day. I used the 13 to win and boxed your 5 in the 10 cent super! Thanks and keep up the great work! :$: :$:

Steve, great job at Hollwood on the late pick 4, your on fire. Like everyone i'm in awe of the roll you have been on with the pick 4's but i am even more impressed how many embedded exacta, tri's and supers you have had in your picks. To me that proves this is not a fluke, your just plain good man! What a great handicapper. I'm glad to say i was along for the ride with you on thursday at Belmont with the double pick 4 payoff for $ 1,200 and today at Hollywood. Thanks for all of the hard work you put into your handicapping and into the radio show on sirius. If i make it up to Saratoga i am gonna buy you a BBQ sandwich, i hear some guy up there does a pretty good job with that as well hehe.

Nice job at Hollywood Steve. Congrats on the late pick 4

Nice work again Steve. On a sad note, not using the 13 in the last cost me the Pk6. I was alive to the 3,5 and 12. Got 2 consos on a 48$ ticket so not all was lost. Son of a..........

Steve,

Another amazing day! Thanks again for your selfless work and efforts that you put in , and for sharing this incredible roll with all of us.

Here's to keeping the roll going!

Looking forward to the Huge Weekend coming up.

Great job.:tro: