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Old 07-25-2006, 12:25 PM
Pointg5 Pointg5 is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Posts: 1,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
One point, please:

There's absolutely no correlation between the way a horse works out ... and the way he performs in a race.

None ... zero.

A horse who works fast is just as likely to lose as he is to win ... and a horse who works slow is just as likely to win as he is to lose.

Actual past performances aren't perfect either ... but they're a much better guide than workouts.
I wouldn't say ZERO correlation, it's not perfect, and there are horses that are "morning glories", but they do give an indication of how a horse is doing. Some stated that Barbaro had one of the best pre-Derby workouts they had ever seen, suggesting he was ready to go. Oracle knows a clocker and he has given out some good info about how a horse has worked and that has translated into on track performance...
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