Scat Daddy

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Problem is that seems to be the case with most of the field. Other than Street Sense, Any Given Saturday, and Curlin I don't see anyone else that much faster than Scat Daddy. I won't be playing him in the win spot on Derby Day but will definitely be including him underneath.

I don't particularly disagree but it feels like his odds are lower than his actual chances of winning. He is a model of consistency, and not only does that make him slower than at least a few serious contenders, it also makes him less likely to dramatically improve. To me he is somewhat reminiscent of Lawyer Ron, or High Fly, in that he's clearly talented but also clearly slower than more than a few, and will take real money.

Not that I am endorsing him, but I feel like Tiago is in some ways a more likely winner, in that he COULD improve. I also feel like he is likely to lose to Scat Daddy but I am not sure he isn't a likelier winner of the race.