Two at Toga

[moses]

Well, day 6 of this didn't go well for me. Mcerin did not get the ride I was hoping and was probably not good enough anyway. Tornado Crossing ran well for a 35/1 horse and gained position down the stretch but ultimately came up too little too late. This is definitely becoming more difficult than I originally thought.

But anyway, on to Thursday's card. August 20th.

Best Bet: Race 8 - #3 Elegant Zip (10/1 ML). Elegant Zip gave it her best try last time out against the second choice in here Speightstown Gal, getting edged for 2nd by 1/2 a length. She is definitely capable here and should be a nice price. The #7 Lead Guitar looks formidable on last year's turf form but has not been quite as impressive this year and I consider her to be a vulnerable favorite here, preferring the two frontrunners in this race. With Elegant Zip drawing inside of Speightstown Gal, I think that might make the difference and allow Elegant Zip to turn the tables here. My hope is that the #6 Quality Stones doesn't throw a wrench in my pace projection, as she will likely try to get involved early with Carmouche aboard.

Longshot: Race 4 - #2 Freudian Analyst (6/1 ML). The two favorites are eligible to improve in their 2nd off the layoff...but so is the #2 Freudian Analyst in his 3rd race on the turf. All 3 horses on the outside, #6 Boom Boom Kaboom, #7 Disciplinarian, and #8 Threepointninenine look like they'll be forwardly placed, which could provide for a nice pace setup for Freudian Analyst, who only finished a nose behind the morning line favorite last time out and oddly altered in down the stretch that probably cost him a better finish. Yes, it's Keith O'Brien as the trainer and I couldn't tell you the last time that he's won a race...but in this group, this one has a chance.

Results so far.


Best bets: $24.00 wagered. $11.20 returned.
Longshots: $24.00 wagered. $18.80 returned.
Total: $48.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.