Royal Delta 2.0

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

The more likely scenario is that people only look at the running line in the DRF and don't bother to watch the actual race replay.

And perhaps a more useful angle with regards to "geared down" horses are the runner-ups, who might look strong on paper despite getting brow beat and thus are overbet next out.

The extreme case is Dortmund in last year's Awesome Again. Absolutely humiliated in that race, yet the running line looked almost as solid as his San Diego effort and he was sent off at odds-on in the BC Dirt Mile.

I agree with you about Dortmund in the Awesome Again. I just watched the replay. Chrome could have beaten him by at least another 3 lengths and that is being conservative.