Paddy Power is already paying off Obama bets as winners

[miraja2]

I genuinely don't understand the high degree of confidence in the outcome tonight. I don't understand it from this guy or from people in general.
In most of the key states, Obama has a very small lead in most of the polls.
That hardly makes it a sure thing.

Check out the last Rasmussen polls:
General: Romney +1
Virginia: Romney +2
Colorado: Romney +3
Iowa: Romney +1
Ohio: Tie

I know that nearly all the other polls have Obama up, and Rasmussen has a reputation of leaning to the right, but is it really that farfetched that Rasmussen might be right here? I certainly hope its an easy Obama victory today, but to me a lot of people on the left seem a bit overconfident.