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#1
10-23-2008, 06:47 AM
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10/24: Breeders' Cup Selections (Friday)
25th BREEDERS' CUP -- OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA
3rd: BC Filly & Mare Sprint, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Even with anticipated scratch of Indyanne, the pace of this affair appears hotter than a typical seven-eighths event. Stalkers/Closers should have the set up they look for. While Indian Blessing is surely the horse to beat after brilliant managed campaign, Ventura and Zaftig are coming up to this on pitch and should make this one of the weekend's most exciting races. Best Value: #12 Ventura 5-1: Handled like '00 Sprint runner-up Honest Lady.. WON Most Likely: #5 Indian Blessing 2-1: Becoming a bet-against as week draws on.. 2nd Next Best: #6 Zaftig 8-1: Huge upset chance if close to Acorn form.. 3rd Super Add: #3 Intangaroo 9-2: Low figs deceptive; Serious horse best at 7 panels.. 6th Deep Exotics: #8 Tiz Elemental (20-1) 13th; #10 Miraculous Miss (20-1) 4th $1 Exacta (12-5) Paid $12.70 $1 Trifecta (12-5-6) Paid $48.70 $1 Superfecta (12-5-6-10) Paid $733.30 4th: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Sugar Mom 10-1: Hard to argue with Catalano magic.. 7th Most Likely: #11 Saucey Evening 9-2: Should work out necessary trip.. 4th Next Best: #7 Consequence 8-1: Outfit never runs girls that can't compete.. 6th Super Add: #2 Laragh 7-2: With one below her, appears solid enough.. 3rd Deep Exotics: #4 C Karma 8-1: Why is she twice the price of Laragh? 8th 5th: BC Juvenile Fillies (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) May be Friday's most interesting race from a wagering standpoint with logicals either slightly compromised by post draw or less attractive at their quoted ML tote than you would want. Certainly tough to swallow 2-1 on Paasch's very nice Stardom Bound when at least 4-5 have already established their parity with her from a speed figure standpoint.. Best Value: #6 Van Lear Rose 30-1: Yet to regress; Repeat of last can win this.. 6th Most Likely: #10 Stardom Bound 2-1: Rock solid but will need even more yet.. WON Next Best: #8 C. S. Silk 15-1: Moving up on radar screens by looking better each morning.. 7th Super Add: #4 Sky Diva 7-2: Stunning in Frizette but back fast from big effort.. 3rd Deep Exotics: #2 Persistently 15-1 5th <$25 P3 Play: 3: 12 4: 2-4-7-8-11 5: 2-4-6-8-10 1x5x5 = $25 6th: BC Filly & Mare Turf, 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super) O'Brien Irish-bred Halfway to Heaven is emerging as Ballydoyle's banker for the weekend having been within 3 lengths of Zarkava at Paris in the Springtime, and a three time Group 1 winner since.. May waltz. Most Likely: #8 Halfway to Heaven 4-1: Multiple Group I winner will adore this surface.. 6th Best Value: #3 Forever Together 6-1: Sheppard-Strawbridge miss has been terrific.. WON Next Best: #5 Wait a While 3-1: Perfect this course; Nearly perfect this trip.. 3rd Super Add: #7 Mauralakana 5-1: Clement mare always runs her race.. 5th Deep Exotics: #4 Visit 15-1: Competitive with pick; Looks good physically.. 4th 7th: BC Ladies Classic (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super, Super Hi 5) Keep expecting Shirreffs-Moss monster Zenyatta to be seriously challenged, and she just keeps winning effortessly. Sure hard to simply 'give' her this event with such nice competition lining up though. Belongs at the top of the majority your plays, but be a little defensive in your multi-race plays.. Most Likely: #1 Zenyatta 3-5: Unbeaten, but still needs to pass 'em all; Not a lock.. WON Best Value: #2 Hysterical Lady 15-1: Will be underbet off last; Expect better here.. 5th Next Best: #6 Ginger Punch 9-2: Not exactly pointed here but expect good effort.. 6th Super Add: #3 Cocoa Beach 8-1: Dazzled in the a.m. and seems poised for big effort.. 2nd 8th: 39th Las Palmas (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Black Mamba 5-2 7th Best Value: #2 Lightmyfirebaby 15-1 9th Next Best: #6 Valbenny 6-1 4th Super Add: #5 Lemon Chiffon 10-1 3rd; #13 Gotta Have Her 15-1 5th <$100 P4 Play: 5: 2-4-6-8-10 6: 3-8 7: 1-2-3-4-6 8: 1-2 5x2x5x2 = $100 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-25-2008 at 05:46 AM. 
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#2
10-23-2008, 07:15 AM
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Do you really believe C. Sutherland can win a Breeder's Cup race? She'll be 40-1. I don't see it.
You left out Maram in the Juvy Turf for local trainer C. Brown. Her last came back slow on Beyers, but not on the Rags. She's training well and Chad knows how to handle the shipping, having worked for Frankel.
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#3
10-23-2008, 07:22 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
10-23-2008, 08:07 AM
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I would LOVE to get behind Cal Flag as he is working great, looks super and will be priced over the top. The problem is the running style on the 6.5.. So tough to win on the lead down the hill. But if you believe, he'll reward you. I'll say one thing. He fits what I called the 'Bet on Sunshine' local sprinter angle that applies typically to the main track Sprint.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
10-23-2008, 08:09 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
10-23-2008, 08:18 AM
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Wow! Just a bit warmer than the 35 in Fort Plain right now. 
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#10
10-23-2008, 09:53 AM
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Hey Steve,
Got to agree with you on Sugar Mom. But I don't get why Coa is riding for Catalano on Friday and Saturday. I saw a quote from Wayne that said "Mr. Calabrese picks the jockeys," but it seems like an odd fit. I love both Catalano's horses, but can't stand Coa...what's your reccomendation?
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#11
10-23-2008, 09:59 AM
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#12
10-23-2008, 10:10 AM
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Filly & Mare Sprint: Miraculous Miss has not worked since Oct7....Any thoughts on why not?
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#13
10-23-2008, 10:11 AM
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#14
10-23-2008, 10:16 AM
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Steve: What do you think of the theory that European horses dont break from the gate as well as their American counterparts...Halfway to Heaven is the one I am thinking will not break well in the Filly & Mare Turf. If she breaks slow its over for her.
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#15
10-23-2008, 10:27 AM
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The DRF says that Coa has ridden for Catalano 15 times in the past year and won at 40%. That's about 39% more than he has won for me. The guy has to be the most frustrating rider to have your money on. It's especially odd in the sprint with Louis Michael, since Douglas came out to CA to win the Pat O'Brian with a 102 BSF.
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#16
10-23-2008, 10:30 AM
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#17
10-23-2008, 10:44 AM
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#18
10-23-2008, 10:49 AM
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Coa always finds a way to lose and somehow manages to always keep his horses in trouble. You can never single a Coa horse in a pick-six. He's great at Gulfstream and Aqueduct in insignificant races, but he's not the guy you want in a big race.
That being said, I've got to include both Catalano horses on my tickets...but I'll be spreading.
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#20
10-23-2008, 11:03 AM
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very nice, you like?  I hope the go crazy up front in this one -bt-
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